Getting a bit anxious—will there be a major crash on Monday? What trading opportunities are there for Bitcoin and crude oil? Let’s take a look.

1. The current situation isn’t very optimistic. Wall Street was closed from Friday due to the holiday, accumulating three days of sentiment that could be unleashed all at once on Monday. Will there be a crash on Monday?
2. I think the probability is quite high. The war is escalating, and according to Trump himself, it will continue for several weeks. The oil price, which is a major negative factor, is still rising. At least for these few days, I’m more inclined to short on rallies.
3. Watch carefully: we short on rallies, only short when there’s a rebound, not chasing after a fall. Previously, we shorted at 67k and got out at 66.2k. Now, I plan to short near the next resistance at 68k, hoping it will go up a bit so we can enter.
4. Compared to Bitcoin’s uncertainty, I find the recently launched Crude Oil CLUSDT very clear. No matter how high it rises recently, the war will end, and long-term oil prices will eventually revert to an average of around 70, a decline of up to 40%. Every time oil prices surge, they fall back to the mean.
5. So I will choose to short at 112 and 130 with a 1x long-term position, avoiding liquidation. Ultimately, prices will come down. This is also part of planning for a huge crash when the war ends—CL could drop 20% or more instantly. This drop will definitely be larger than the rebound of stocks or Bitcoin.
6. Additionally, we need to be alert: Trump occasionally releases fake positive news before the market opens to manipulate the market. Our short position on crude oil is to hedge against this: if the conflict eases —> crude oil crashes, and we still profit. Every step is carefully considered—steady and sure, let’s operate together!