4.3 Evening BTC/ETH Market Forecast and Analysis

Non-farm payrolls data unexpectedly exceeded expectations, directly breaking the market's optimistic outlook for Federal Reserve rate cuts. The dollar strengthened, and U.S. Treasury yields rose, fundamentally suppressing the valuation of cryptocurrencies, with funds accelerating out of high-risk assets.
In the short term, sentiment is dominated by bears: after the data release, the market immediately declined, completely undermining bullish confidence. All evening rebounds are merely technical corrections and unlikely to change the overall downward trend.

BTC Market Analysis
Currently, BTC is priced around 66,830, with a daily low of 66,240. Clear core resistance and support levels this evening:
- Strong resistance above at 67,350-67,500, which is the intraday rebound high. After the data release, the rebound faces pressure, and the probability of a breakthrough tonight is very low.
- First resistance at 67,000-67,100, which is the key short-term resistance for a rebound. Rebound pressure here makes it a priority zone for short positions.
- First support at 66,240-66,500, the intraday low. The probability of falling below this level after the data release is significantly increased.
- Strong support at 65,800-66,000, a medium-term defense level. If effectively broken, it will open the downside space, targeting the 65,000-64,500 range.

ETH Market Analysis
Currently, ETH is priced around 2,058.94, with a daily low of 2,039.12. The trend is similarly weak:
- Strong resistance above at 2,065-2,080, which is the intraday pressure zone. After the data release, the rebound is weak, and a breakthrough tonight is unlikely.
- First resistance at 2,060-2,065, the short-term rebound pressure zone, favoring short positions.
- First support at 2,039-2,045, the intraday low. The probability of breaking below this level after the data release is high.
- Strong support at 2,000-2,020, a psychological and technical support level. Losing this will trigger panic selling, with a target towards the 1,950-1,920 range.

Evening Trading Strategy
BTC Trading: Light short positions around 67,000-67,100 on rebounds, with stop-loss above 67,350. First targets at 66,240-66,000. If broken convincingly, hold for 65,500-65,000.
Avoid chasing longs; only consider light long positions when the price stabilizes around 65,800-66,000 for oversold rebounds, with stop-loss below 65,500, and targets at 66,500-66,800. Quick in and out.

ETH Trading: Short positions around 2,060-2,065 on rebounds, with stop-loss above 2,080. First targets at 2,039-2,020. If broken, hold for 2,000-1,980.
When retesting and stabilizing around 2,000-2,010, consider light long positions with stop-loss below 1,980, and targets at 2,040-2,050. Strict position control.