2026-04-03 10:22:31

1. From the perspective of TGA account balances and bank reserve balances, starting from April 10, liquidity may begin to accelerate its tightening. Specifically: April 10-20 is the peak withdrawal period, and the TGA account balance starts to decline from its peak between April 20 and the end of April. By early May, the withdrawals will basically be finished, and liquidity will start to loosen.

2. From a war perspective, Chuanzi said that the fighting is expected to last another 2-3 weeks, which coincides with the rhythm of this withdrawal and liquidity release.

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