As the key data window is approaching, the U.S. March non-farm payrolls will be released tonight at 20:30. The market generally expects employment data to show a mild improvement, moving away from the sluggish conditions seen earlier.

Due to holiday arrangements today, trading is paused for U.S. stocks, gold, crude oil, and other commodities. Market liquidity has declined somewhat, and the near-term price action is relatively stable. But the expectation gap driven by the data and policy signals will very likely intensify and take shape next week, triggering period-by-period volatility.

At the moment, the forces on both the long and short sides are relatively balanced, and the price action is mainly characterized by range-bound consolidation. There is no clear signal of a one-way acceleration, but for now I still lean toward going short.

In terms of trading, stay flexible—don’t be stubborn or make predictions in advance. For friends whose risk control ability is limited and who feel unsure about market variables, you can always exchange thoughts with me. Put stability first and respond calmly.

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