A rebound is an opportunity for the bulls to get on board. BTC has not yet broken through the upward trendline. Backed by the 4-hour trendline, short positions can still be taken. The recent market is highly volatile—either a sharp surge or a sharp drop—making it difficult to trade. Not much to say, so I’ll keep it brief; pay attention to risk. A big move is coming. Let’s do a simple analysis:

4.3 Market Outlook

⚠️Risk Reminder: Cryptocurrency is highly volatile. The following is purely technical analysis and does not constitute investment advice.

1. $BTC ‌

Core Viewpoint
65500 support tested multiple times without breaking, but the rebound strength is gradually weakening, forming an exhaustion pattern.

If the price revisits 65500 and cannot break through the previous high of 67405 → 65500 is likely to break down.

If 65500 fails to hold → first watch 64930, then 63832.

Sign of bottoming: return to flag pattern + breakout of 67638.

Key Levels

Resistance above: 66893 → 67598 → 68591

Support below: 66285 → 65500 → 63840

Trading Strategy (Right Side)

Long: Break above 66893 with volume to chase longs, target 67598 → 68591

Short: Break below 66253 with volume, then rebound without confirmation → chase shorts

Hourly Level: Only look for longs if above 66893

4-hour Level: Break below 66239 → watch 65561 → 63810

2. $ETH ‌

Core Idea
Weakness linked to BTC, mainly high positions, key levels for battle.

Key Levels

Resistance above: 2071 → 2125 → 2166

Support below: 2037 → 2013 → 1982

Trading Strategy

Right Side Long: Break above 2071 with volume, stop loss at entry

Right Side Short: Break below 2043 with volume

Pullback Long: Confirm support at 2011, stop loss if below 1980

High Position Short: Short at 2166, stop loss if break above 2200

Left Side Pin: Long at 1971, stop loss if below 1936

4-hour Level: Break below 2018 → watch 1980 → 1937#美国初请失业金人数下降