Been tracking the earnings calendar for this week and there's some seriously important stuff coming up. The market's been pricing in a lot of growth narratives, but we're about to get reality checks across multiple sectors. Let me break down what caught my attention.



Starting with Alibaba - Eddie Wu has been making some bold moves on the AI infrastructure side. Their cloud division just posted 34% growth, which is actually accelerating from the prior quarter's 26%. The thing is, according to Eddie Wu himself, they're still struggling to keep up with demand for AI products despite dropping 120 billion yuan in capex over four quarters. That's a supply-demand gap worth watching. The cloud profitability jumped 35% to 3.6 billion yuan, so at least the margins are holding. Outside of that, their quick commerce push is growing like crazy at 60% YoY, but it's eating into overall margins. E-commerce revenue ticked up 16% to 132.6 billion yuan. When they report on 24/02, we'll be looking at whether Eddie Wu guides for more AI spending or if they've hit some inflection point.

Then there's the housing story, which is messier. Home Depot just missed earnings for the third straight quarter - EPS came in at 3.74 versus expected 3.84. Revenue was 41.35 billion, barely above consensus at 41.10 billion. The real issue: consumer spending is weakening and mortgage rates are keeping people from doing those big renovation projects. CEO Ted Decker noted that lack of storm activity didn't help either. Online sales were the only real bright spot, up 11% for the quarter. When they report again on 24/02, we need to see if this is a temporary slowdown or structural weakness in consumer demand.

Nvidia's the opposite story - they're absolutely crushing it. Revenue hit 57.01 billion, beating expectations, with net income surging 65% YoY to 31.91 billion. The data center segment, especially their AI GPU business, generated 51.2 billion in revenue with 43 billion coming from GPU compute. CEO Jensen Huang highlighted massive demand for Blackwell GPUs from the hyperscalers. The question when they report post-market on 25/02 is whether this growth can sustain or if we're starting to see capex cycles moderate.

Salesforce is the last one I'm watching - they beat on EPS at 3.25 versus expected 2.86, but slightly missed on revenue at 10.26 billion. The interesting part is their AI platform Agentforce already generated over 500 million in a single quarter. Marc Benioff is positioning them around this "agentic enterprise" concept. Their Informatica acquisition should add around three percentage points to Q4 growth. When they report post-market on 25/02, the key question is whether AI revenue growth can actually offset the structural headwinds in legacy software.

What's really important here is that valuations are stretched across the board, so these earnings aren't just about beats and misses - they're about guidance and capex plans. Are companies actually going to keep spending on AI infrastructure, or are we seeing demand start to normalize? Are consumer-facing businesses going to stabilize, or is weakness spreading? This week's earnings could seriously reshape how we're positioned for the rest of the year.
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