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Just been looking at MSTR and the short interest situation is getting wild. So MicroStrategy's sitting on like $7 billion in unrealized Bitcoin losses right now, and somehow that made it the most-shorted stock globally. With BTC hovering around $66.87K, you'd think the pressure would break the stock, but Tom Lee from Fundstrat is making a solid point - when everyone's crowded into the same trade, that's usually when things flip.
The institutional side is interesting too. A bunch of funds that were holding MSTR as their Bitcoin proxy are quietly exiting. Angeles Wealth Management dumped their whole position, Wealth Watch Advisors did the same, and others cut their exposure hard. Caitlin John LLC took a 96% haircut on their holdings. Normally that would tank the stock further, but Tom Lee's thesis is that these crowded short positions can actually create resilience - bad news gets priced in when consensus forms, which leaves room for surprise upside moves.
The real question is whether this is the moment the bears got too comfortable. Tom Lee's basically saying the short squeeze risk is real if sentiment shifts even slightly. Michael Saylor's corporate Bitcoin treasury strategy has become this polarizing trade - institutions are clearly losing faith in it as a BTC proxy, but that crowded short positioning might be setting up for some painful covering if the narrative changes.