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#加密市场行情震荡 #Gate广场四月发帖挑战 This morning's speech by Trump revealed in every aspect that the subsequent course will continue to escalate conflicts.
Trump stated: The United States will complete all military operations soon, and in the next two to three weeks, if no agreement is reached, there will be an extremely fierce attack on Iran, targeting power plants and even oil facilities.
From Trump's remarks, although he initially expressed the willingness of the U.S. to end the war quickly, given the current proposed agreements from both the U.S. and Iran, there is almost no possibility of negotiations.
Therefore, the likely way to end the war is through a fierce attack, which aligns with what Trump later mentioned.
Meanwhile, with the U.S. midterm elections approaching in November, only seven months remain in the window period. Domestic opposition in the U.S. to Trump's war plans is growing louder, increasing the risk for Trump’s Republican Party of losing House seats.
This means that in the coming months, market conditions will change—not become more peaceful, but more rapid and intense, indicating that the market still has no bottoming opportunity or trend for now.
The current Fear and Greed Index is at 11, deep in the extreme fear zone, hovering between 8 and 14 over the past month.
There are seasonal factors supporting optimistic sentiment. Historically, April has been one of Bitcoin’s strongest months, with 10 out of the past 15 years ending in gains, averaging a 20.9% increase. In contrast, the average decline in losing years is 8.8%. Additionally, last week, Bitcoin rebounded strongly from the support level near $60,000 during its two-month upward trend, and is now attempting to regain the #Drift protocol after a hacker attack.