Trump's current speeches are overall quite bearish, and oil prices are climbing again. These two factors together indicate that the current market environment is not suitable for aggressive trading. The more this kind of situation occurs, the less we should be swayed by superficial fluctuations, and the less we should mistake some intraday movements for real opportunities.



Therefore, I choose not to place any trades in this market. It's not because I lack ideas, but because the current risks outweigh the potential rewards. Trump is a person whose statements the market has become very familiar with over the years. His biggest characteristic is high uncertainty; his speeches are often inconsistent, and his attitude can swing back and forth. If you base your judgment on one of his comments, the next moment he might overturn that logic himself, or external circumstances could shift again, disrupting market expectations. When faced with such situations, trading easily shifts from "participating based on logic" to "chasing news and rumors."

Looking at oil, rising prices are not a sign of ease. They reflect more than just energy costs; they indicate a re-pricing of inflation, geopolitical risks, and future uncertainties. When oil prices go up, market sentiment becomes more sensitive, and many assets enter a high-volatility state. The most troublesome aspect of this kind of market is that the trend may not follow technical patterns but is often driven by news stimuli and amplified emotions. When the rhythm gets disrupted, short-term trading becomes very vulnerable to being whipped back and forth.

This current wave of volatility is not worth taking big risks. In a phase where news is repeatedly conflicting, sentiment is fragile, and external variables are significant, the best approach is often not to rush in to prove oneself but to pull back and hold. Because in trading, in the end, it’s never about who makes the most trades, but who can control their hands during high-risk periods and maintain their rhythm.

I would rather miss out on a seemingly lively market than force trades when the logic is chaotic. Wait until the news becomes clearer, the market has digested the emotions, and the direction is truly confirmed before considering entering. Only then will the trading be more solid. Many times, doing nothing is the best move; holding cash is not missing opportunities but actively avoiding risks that are not well understood. $BTC $ETH $SOL
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