Ceasefire expectations are here! Will BTC take off, or will it be snatched back?

What is the biggest recent positive for the market?
It's not technical analysis, but—"Ceasefire expectations."
The situation between the US, Israel, and Iran seems to be turning around, and the market is starting to bet on de-escalation. Once a ceasefire is achieved, risk assets usually experience a rebound.
The question is:
👉 Is the current rally a pre-emptive profit-taking, or just the beginning?
If you watch the market carefully, you'll notice a detail:
Volume is insufficient during the rise, but very decisive during declines.
What does this indicate?
👉 The bulls are a bit weak
👉 The bears are more decisive
In other words, this rally looks more like "emotion-driven trading" rather than "funds-driven."
If the ceasefire really happens—
BTC might surge briefly,
But if it falls through—
That’s a "high-level capitulation textbook."
Comment section interaction:
👉 How likely do you think a ceasefire is?
👉 If it really happens, what’s your first target price for BTC? #创作者冲榜