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This morning, everyone was focused on Trump's speech, so the update will be a bit delayed.
After reviewing Trump's speech today, the summary is that there is still no fundamental basis for peace negotiations. A true ceasefire remains uncertain. It’s still Trump’s signature style—pressuring while fighting and not forgetting to praise his own victories, along with some insults toward “allies.” Regarding the Strait of Hormuz, one of the market’s biggest concerns, Trump’s stance is completely indifferent—either continuing to blockade the strait, which would increase oil prices and further raise U.S. inflation pressures, making it harder for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates later. This market behavior indicates a lack of confidence in the near future.
Since Trump’s speech is bearish for the market, in the short term, it’s advisable to continue shorting on rallies amid these uncontrollable factors. Keep an eye on the evolving US-Iran situation. Yesterday, institutional capital outflows from crypto ETFs amounted to about $68 million. The liquidation map shows that some long positions have already been liquidated in response to Trump’s speech, but the liquidation is not yet complete.
For today’s short-term market focus, watch whether the 65,000-66,000 support zone can hold. For Ethereum, look below at $2000-$2030; for SOL, focus on the short-term support at $75-$77.
Short-term contract strategies:
BTC: Short at $67,500 or on rallies, take profit at $66,000
ETH: Short at $2,100 or on rallies, take profit at $2,050
SOL: Short at $80 or on rallies, take profit at $77
Warm tips:
1. Stop-loss suggestions should be set based on your actual liquidation price and your risk tolerance.
2. Don’t be greedy—take profits when possible. It’s better to take small losses than to hold against the trend. If the direction is correct, continue holding.