🚨 Post-Donald Trump Speech Market: Peace Expectations "Dampened"

The market experienced a rapid turnaround after Trump's latest speech. When the peace scenario is no longer maintained, risk-off sentiment immediately returns.
📉 Immediate Market Reaction
• Nasdaq Composite down 1.40% → 23,758
• Bitcoin down 2.28% → $67,202
• Gold down 2.90% → $4,692
👉 Notably:
Not only crypto or stocks, but even gold – a safe haven asset – was heavily sold off. This indicates it’s not a typical “flight to safety,” but a broad liquidity sell-off.
📈 Oil Surges – Signal of Escalating Tensions
• Crude Oil up 6% → $103.51
A strong spike from $98 in a single move
Main reasons:
• Strait of Hormuz continues to be closed
• Risk of global energy supply disruptions
• Markets are beginning to price in a prolonged conflict of 2–3 weeks
⚠️ Why “All Decline Together”?
Typically:
• War → gold rises
• Risk → crypto falls
But this time:
• All risk-on assets and gold are falling
👉 Core reason:
• The market had previously priced in peace expectations
• When expectations are shattered → capital flows out simultaneously
• This is a “sell the hope” phenomenon
🧠 Important Perspective
This is not just about a war, but about:
• An adjustment of (expectation reset)
• Previously: Market pricing “ceasefire soon”
• Now: Repricing “conflict prolonged + energy instability”