April Market Outlook | When the Peace Dove Flies Over the Strait of Hormuz, What Should We Layout?

#Gate Square April Posting Challenge

At the start of April, the market welcomes a major variable—the easing signals from the US-Iran situation. The Iranian president stated they are ready to end the war, and Trump also hinted at "ending operations within 2-3 weeks." Boosted by this, the crypto market, US stocks, and gold and silver rarely all strengthen simultaneously in a "three-arrow" rally.

So, how should we position ourselves in April?

1️⃣ Market Direction: Volatile Upward, but Not a Broad Bull

Ceasefire expectations drive oil prices down → inflation pressures ease → interest rate cut expectations rise → risk assets benefit. However, April faces US earnings season and the "cooling-off period" after the halving, making funds more selective. BTC/ETH may challenge previous highs, but altcoin season will be highly differentiated.

2️⃣ Sectors Worth Laying Out

· RWA (Real-World Assets): The core beneficiaries of rate cut trades, directly benefiting from falling US Treasury yields
· AI + DePIN: If US tech stocks rebound in April, the narrative will spill over, combined with some projects' mainnet launch expectations

3️⃣ Trading Strategy

Maintain core positions in BTC/ETH, with small positions in mainline sectors, and hold cash for pullback opportunities after positive news.

In April, just focus on the "interest rate cut expectation" trend.