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Achieving a 76% win rate in the weather market actually boils down to four strategies.
The first, the most expensive.
Hire someone—a quantitative analyst and an engineer. It’ll cost at least $200,000 a year to have them build your algorithms and entire system.
The second, the slowest.
Learn quantitative analysis and engineering yourself, step by step.
This route takes several years, involves a lot of pitfalls, and only after that can you develop a “basically usable” algorithm.
The third, the least reliable.
Rely purely on luck and hold out for a month.
But mathematically, it doesn’t add up. If you’re doing YES/NO bets and want to maintain a 70% win rate over 30 trades, the probability is less than 0.0006%. In other words, most people think they suddenly have an epiphany, but in reality, they’re just running out of luck.
The fourth, the most practical.
Directly follow those who have maintained over 70% win rates for several consecutive months.
Whether they’re bots or real people monitoring weather models and hourly reports, as long as the results are there, that’s enough.
Here are some weather accounts worth watching:
Those who earned $90,000:
Those who earned $50,000:
Those who earned $18,000:
This is also the only method—without spending years learning on your own or spending thousands of dollars hiring experts—you can directly access this kind of advantage.
And now, there are tools that can help you automatically copy trades, so you don’t have to keep an eye on when they open new positions.
So the question might no longer be “Is the weather market hard?”
But rather, are you willing to spend years grinding from scratch, or follow those who are already making profits?
If you want to use copy trading on Polymarket, I recommend this:
#Polymarket