#四月行情预测 The cryptocurrency market in April 2026 is expected to remain volatile within a wide range, consolidating a bottom pattern. After the previous sharp correction, the market has entered a "post-halving" cycle, requiring stronger momentum for a reversal.

Core Trend: BTC's main trading range is $60,000 - $75,000, with ETH following at $1,800 - $2,300. The market will repeatedly test support levels, making a one-sided trend unlikely.

Key Drivers:

Macro Factors: The Middle East situation and oil prices are the biggest variables, influencing global liquidity expectations and risk appetite.

Capital Flows: Whether the US spot Bitcoin ETF can resume stable net inflows is crucial for gauging institutional confidence and market direction.

Cycle Position: Current prices are in a typical "post-halving" correction phase, with a low probability of immediate reversal, requiring time to digest.

Strategy Advice: Adopt a defensive approach, maintaining low positions (recommended below 30%). Consider staggered purchases at key support levels (BTC $60K-$65K) to avoid chasing highs. Focus primarily on BTC, and remain cautious with highly volatile altcoins and MEME coins.

⚠️ Core Risks: Be alert to black swan events related to global macro policies (especially US regulation) and the liquidation risks associated with high leverage during volatile markets.