Analysis: April may determine Bitcoin's next move, with RSI in the neutral zone and volatility possibly rising.

Deep Tide TechFlow message. On April 01, according to independent analyst Markus Thielen’s daily chart, historical data suggests that April is usually a bullish month for Bitcoin. Over the past 10 years, the average monthly gain has been about 11.3%. However, since 2020, this pattern has become less stable: when momentum is relatively high early in the month, it often leads to increased volatility for the month, with no clear directional bias. Current BTC RSI has fallen to 47%, placing it in a neutral range, and the starting conditions are relatively mild.

That said, ongoing disruptions to market sentiment from rising geopolitical uncertainty and inflation concerns are prompting the market to reassess the policy paths of major central banks. Compared with the range-bound action in March, April’s volatility may be somewhat higher. Analysts note that April will be a key window to watch—especially whether prior downward pressure can gradually ease, and whether the market can form more clearly defined directional signals.