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The winners on the battlefield are already faintly visible, but not everyone thinks so~
As the conflict continues and oil prices remain high, the balance of power in the US-Iran game is quietly shifting in favor of Israel — and both Trump and Iran may be the losers in this war~
First, Iran: military targets hit over ten thousand, and its economy was already struggling under sanctions; war will only accelerate internal collapse. This loser is no surprise~
Next, Trump: on the surface, he won the battlefield but lost the bill. High oil prices are fueling inflation in the US, military spending is straining the budget, and approval ratings continue to decline — the war dividends haven’t even been realized, and political capital has already been burned halfway. No president in history has gained economic reputation from Middle East wars~
What about Israel? It’s the biggest beneficiary — its rival Iran’s military capabilities are cleared out by the US, regional threats are eliminated, and strategic depth is expanded. Tel Aviv understands this much better than Washington~
The most ironic ending is often: those who pay and contribute end up making wedding dresses for others~
From a macro perspective: sustained high oil prices → persistent US inflation pressure → shrinking room for Fed rate cuts → Trump’s economic cards become increasingly difficult to play~
Wars have never had true winners, only losers to varying degrees~
#美伊战争 #Israel #川普 #Geopolitics #OilPrices #WTI Crude Oil Futures