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🔥 Fuel for the off-season! It's starting! -30% in a month at small regional banks in the USA. Liquidity shortages, like in spring 2023, are happening right now!
If the situation continues, the war will continue, and regional banks in the USA will start to go bankrupt as in 2023: Silicon Valley, Signature Bank, First Republic Bank. Then the Fed (like in 2023) will begin rescuing them by flooding the entire banking system with liquidity through the BTFP (Bank Term Funding Program), which is about ~$200 billion, along with an announcement of the end of QT. Now, more will be needed.
Back then, Bitcoin rose 58% in 30 days from $19,500 to $31,150, with the crisis starting on March 10, 2023. Everything is following the same path now.
I don’t know if Trump will hold on, but all signs point to the US having more problems in 2-3 weeks, and Iran won’t give up during that time. $6.99 per gallon in California, which is about 150 rubles per liter for our AI-95, while in Moscow it’s 70 rubles per liter.