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ETH/BTC Is it a good time to buy the dip? Don't rush, let me analyze it first.
Brothers, this recent market crash has been pretty brutal. BTC is approaching the 66,000 level, and ETH has fallen to around 1980. The group is filled with despair—many altcoins have dropped to almost nothing.
At this moment, most people only have one thought: buy the dip.
It's fallen so much; surely it will rebound, right? If I don't get in now, I might miss out? Let me give you some advice: hold your horses, don’t rush. In this ruthless market, guessing bottoms based on gut feeling often leads to the worst losses.
We don’t guess; we look at the main players’ data cards.
Using the latest liquidity liquidation map and chart K-line analysis, I’ll break down the cold logic behind this decline.
First, the liquidation map shows that there’s a “super big fat target” hidden below that the big players want to eat.
Take a look at the first Coinglass liquidation map. Currently, BTC is hovering around 66,864. But if you look to the left, at the 60,212 level, there’s an extremely exaggerated yellow bar—an accumulated long liquidation strength of up to $308 million!
What does this mean? It indicates countless reckless traders have opened high-leverage positions (many with 50x, 100x leverage) and are holding on stubbornly below. For the big institutions and market makers, this $308 million is a juicy piece of meat right in front of them. Capital is bloodthirsty. With such heavy selling pressure above, why wouldn’t the big players push downward, break through the 60,000 level, wipe out the long positions, and drain all the liquidity before pushing the price back up?
Similarly, ETH at the 2010 level is also precarious. Below, in the 1900 to 1950 range, there’s a dense cluster of yellow bars waiting to be harvested. As long as the leverage below isn’t fully cleared out, this market can’t stabilize. Forcing a bottom here would just be giving the big players more bullets.
Second, the K-line structure has broken down, and open interest (OI) in unliquidated contracts is still stubbornly high.
Let’s switch to the 1-hour chart.
Looking at BTC, the price has clearly broken out of a downtrend channel. A large bearish candle has smashed through previous support levels, and it’s now barely holding on in a Fair Value Gap (FVG) area below. But note the data in the bottom right: open interest (OI) is still at $6.117 billion!
For ETH, the 1-hour chart shows a waterfall decline, moving along the lower Bollinger Band, with no signs of stabilization like long lower shadows or bullish engulfing candles. Its OI is also high at $4.734 billion.
These two data points together are terrifying: the price has fallen so much, but the chips on the table haven’t decreased. This means retail traders are still aggressively adding to their positions and stubbornly holding longs. Leverage hasn’t been fully flushed out (reset). The bearish momentum on the 1-hour chart isn’t finished; this isn’t a bottom—it looks more like a continuation of the decline.
Summary: What should we do now?
In trading, the most expensive cost isn’t missing the bottom but running out of bullets while the bottom is still halfway up the mountain.
Based on current liquidation heat and market structure, the big players’ hunting target is very clear: to eat the extremely dense liquidation liquidity below. BTC might test the 60,000 liquidation pool with a downward poke, and ETH testing 1900 is also highly probable.
So, the only advice now is: watch more, act less, keep cash king.
What’s the real signal for buying the dip? It’s when one night, a huge bearish candle suddenly breaks downward, causing the yellow liquidation bar at 60,000 to vanish instantly, with billions of dollars in liquidations across the network, and the group falls silent. Then, the candle quickly closes with a long lower shadow (a “drawbridge” pattern). That’s the sign that leverage has been flushed out and the big players have finished accumulating.
Until then, let the bullets fly a little longer. Keep your cash tight and don’t go catching bloodied knives at this level!