Midday Two-Pie Market Analysis

Trend Judgment

Currently, Two-Pie is in a purely bearish trend. The recent rebound has no strength at all; it's just a minor correction during the decline, not a reversal. Don't be fooled by false bullish signals. Don't be lured into buying the rally.

Key Signals

First, the contract funding rate has dropped to -0.0019%, clearly indicating that the futures market is dominated by bears, and the overall market sentiment is very bearish; second, the current price is at 2065, consistently held below the key resistance zone of 2100-2120 and the lower band of the Bollinger Bands, showing no momentum to push higher.

Critical Levels

- Short-selling pressure zone: 2100-2120, this is the core defense area for bears, and the rebound ceiling is right here.

- Key support: 2040-2050, if this level breaks, the market will accelerate downward.

Operational Strategy

Main approach (shorting): When the price rebounds to the 2090-2120 range, enter short positions directly, with a stop-loss above 2140. The first target is 2050.

Rebound trading reminder: To buy the dip at 2040-2050 and aim for a rebound, keep positions extremely light, with strict stop-loss below 2030. The maximum target is 2100—don't be greedy.

Conservative approach: Do not act before breaking through 2120; observe and wait, trade less to avoid mistakes, and wait for clearer signals before taking action.

Final Summary

All current rebounds are opportunities for us to short. As long as there is no strong breakout above 2120, do not turn bullish—follow the bearish trend. Don't be fooled into buying the rally.