$OPN #CreatorLeaderboard

ICT Judas Swing setup of OPN/USDT, here is a structured analysis and potential trade blueprint.

1. Confirm Daily Bias

From the Charts:

· Daily structure: The price is trading at 0.2135, below the EMA30 (0.2149) and BOLL mid (0.2144) on the second screenshot, indicating a short-term bearish structure on lower timeframes.
· However, the first screenshot’s larger timeframe BOLL shows UB: 0.2647 / LB: 0.1903, and the price is near the daily low (0.1972) but also showing a lower wick rejection.
· Bias: The daily chart suggests bearish momentum but potential for a reversal if the daily low holds. The Judas Swing works best when the daily bias is bullish — meaning the swing is a liquidity grab before continuation higher.

If you are looking for a long setup, the daily bias needs to be bullish. Currently, the market is ranging with bearish EMA alignment on lower timeframes.

2. Locate High-Probability Liquidity

· Liquidity above: 0.2221 (24h high) — this is the most obvious sell-side liquidity if the market wants to run stops before reversing down.
· Liquidity below: 0.1972 (24h low) — this is the buy-side liquidity if the market wants to sweep lows before reversing up.
· In a Judas Swing (long), price would sweep a recent low (below 0.1972) to grab liquidity, then reverse higher.

3. Wait for Judas Raid

On Shorter Time-Frame (5m or 30m chart):

· Price made a low of 0.1972, but the current price is 0.2135.
· If price breaks below 0.1972 (even by a few pips), that would be the liquidity raid.
· After the raid, look for immediate rejection — a strong bullish candle closing back above 0.1972–0.2000.

Current status: The low has been tested but not yet swept in the latest visible session. Judas raid not yet confirmed for a long entry.

4. Confirm Reversal Structure

After the raid:

· Look for a higher low formation.
· On the second screenshot, the MACD is near zero but still negative (MACD: 0.0000, DIF/DEA: -0.0007). A bullish cross would help.
· Volume should increase on the reversal candle.

Currently, MACD is flat, indicating indecision. No clear reversal structure yet.

5. Enter on OTE (61.8–78.6%)

If the raid happens and reversal confirms:

· Identify the swing low (the raided low) and the first higher high after the raid.
· Draw Fibonacci retracement from that swing low to the higher high.
· Enter on the 61.8–78.6% retracement of that move.

From current data, OTE levels would be:

· 61.8%: Approx. 0.2030–0.2050 (if the raid low is 0.1970 and first high is 0.2135)
· 78.6%: Approx. 0.2000–0.2010

Summary

Step Status
Daily bias Weakly bearish — not ideal for Judas Swing long
Liquidity Below 0.1972 is the key zone
Judas raid Not yet triggered
Reversal structure Not confirmed
OTE entry Not yet applicable

Recommendation

Wait for:

1. A clean break below 0.1972 (liquidity sweep)
2. A strong bullish candle closing above 0.2000
3. Pullback into 0.2000–0.2050 (OTE zone)
4. Long entry with stop below the raided low

If price breaks above 0.2221 instead without sweeping lows, the Judas Swing scenario (long) is invalidated.