Asia-Pacific early trading showed clear divergence: crude oil opened sharply lower, while U.S. stock index futures rallied across the board, primarily driven by U.S.-Iran ceasefire expectations.



WTI crude oil opened 3.83% lower, trading at $88.816/barrel; Brent crude fell 4.3% to $99.99/barrel, with geopolitical risk premium declining rapidly.

U.S. stock index futures rose in sync, Nasdaq-100 futures up 1%, Dow and S&P 500 futures both up 0.72%, with risk sentiment showing notable improvement.

On the news front, the U.S. is proposing a one-month ceasefire plan and negotiating 15-point agreements with Iran to end the conflict. The geopolitical hedging logic that previously supported oil prices has cooled significantly, putting downward pressure on crude, while risk assets are experiencing recovery.

In the near term, markets will fluctuate around negotiations progress. If the situation continues to ease, oil prices may weaken further, and U.S. stock risk appetite is expected to improve further.
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