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[Red Packet] One Yang rewrites market outlook, electricity sector continues to resonate - where's the endpoint? Vita takes you deep into analyzing the market!
Yesterday, over 100 stocks hit the daily limit down, and today, over 100 stocks hit the daily limit up. Once again, the market has shown a bullish reversal that changes perceptions. Whether this can be sustained depends on how tomorrow’s market will develop. Do you believe in the continuation of this recovery? [Taogu Ba]
Regarding short-term mindset:
Whether trading can be profitable depends never on rules but on market conditions.
Rules are mostly reminders to control risk. They tell you not to go against the trend, not to hold heavy positions, not to trade frequently. Rules limit losses—they prevent your trading from getting out of control!
This is also the only thing we can truly manage with rules.
Never chase profits with rules; the purpose of rules is to maintain stability.
Stable profitability boils down to two things: stability and profit.
Experienced traders know that in the market, stability is far more important than profit! That’s why everyone emphasizes trading rules.
So, how to achieve stable profits? The path is relatively clear: follow rules to maintain your mindset, stay disciplined in your trades. By screening market conditions and earning profits!
Screening market conditions requires patience and waiting. Good opportunities that can generate sustained profits are rare.
Most traders have similar technical skills and methods, but their final results vary greatly—this gap lies in how they select market conditions.
Many people lose money not because their skills are poor, but because they avoid good market opportunities. When good opportunities come, they hesitate or don’t dare to act!
First, I want to thank everyone for your recent support. Although market conditions are tough, all friends in Bingfen Group maintain a core, high-conviction approach. Most members have achieved satisfying results in March, which wouldn’t be possible without everyone’s effort. Every short-term trader’s path is the same: it’s a tough journey, but perseverance leads to success. Be patient and make friends with time!
Also, congratulations to some fans for reaching new highs, such as Shui Ruchangshi Brother, whose funds surpassed seven figures today—officially entering the middle class!
Our real trading contestant, Ai Xiaoyou Brother, also achieved his target returns this month—congratulations!
And Xiao Long Brother successfully turned red again—very impressive!
Plus, Little Baby Beauty is about to recover her account—celebrating this contrarian success is definitely worth it! Congratulations!
Many other friends’ messages I’ve carefully read—here, Vita congratulates everyone! I wish all friends in Bingfen Group can achieve their desired wealth in the future market! Vita will stay true to its original intention and continue to be a guiding light on your trading journey! Focus on heavy positions, core holdings, and certainty!
1. Market Sentiment Analysis
1… Market Environment
This morning’s market opened sharply lower with low volume. This is easy to understand—yesterday’s panic sell-off with increased volume caused some investors to exit. The market’s correction with reduced volume is natural, but we must consider support levels. After a high open, the market mostly retreated, with all intraday directions showing profit-taking.
During 9:35-10:25, market volatility intensified. Power stocks initially diverged then strengthened, finally stabilizing. During this period, oversold sectors like military and healthcare also rose. Historically, these sectors have been in a downward adjustment since early 2026, with no significant upward moves. For example, Changcheng Military Industry’s chart shows a clear downward trend, with a final rebound during intraday sentiment recovery.
Midday, financial stocks helped stabilize the index, with banks opening higher and supporting the overall market.
After 10:25, the main upward driver was power stocks, such as the previously identified Jinkai New Energy, which rebounded yesterday. Today’s market followed a single script—power sector resonance. As long as this resonance occurs once, confirming that internal capital divergence has turned into consensus, this sector’s continuation remains possible.
Within this, sectors like computing power and broad technology also saw rotation and recovery opportunities.
In the late session, the ChiNext index remained below water, so I shared earlier that the index needs to show strength for a healthy recovery. The focus is on institutional trend direction. By the end of the day, stocks like CPO optical fiber rotated and recovered, indicating a healthy correction. Overall, the day’s trend aligned with expectations: low volume of 400 billion yuan is normal. Whether the market can sustain a continuous recovery or just oscillate upward remains uncertain—my personal view is the latter, as broad declines lead to broad rebounds. The sustainability of this rebound needs to be observed tomorrow.
2. Index Cycle
Today’s index formed a rare complete recovery since the recent decline cycle. It’s comparable to the rebound after the April 7th drop last year, but with a key difference: April 7th was influenced by external factors, whereas today’s sentiment is driven by internal capital emotions. This distinction is crucial; they are not directly comparable.
Today’s market position suggests waiting for a confirmed reversal before seeking core holdings. For example, on Friday, I exited full positions in Hua Liao amid noisy market conditions. The resonance was with the second wave of power stocks, which did not succeed on Monday—then it shifted to robotics. Currently, the focus is on whether sectors like military, healthcare, or photovoltaics can continue their upward trend.
(1) The recent decline started on March 12 and has been recovering since, resembling last year’s rebound after the April 7th decline.
(2) Power stocks’ second wave began on March 18, with some differentiation daily. While some stocks fall sharply, core stocks remain resilient.
II. Sector Core Analysis
(1) Power Sector
Led by Longhua Power, Huaneng LiaoNeng.
Morning divergence, with opening prices below expectations, followed by sharp declines. Later, stocks recovered, with Hua Liao resonating again. The exit point was a limit-down, but as long as it doesn’t hit the limit, there’s a chance to replicate the trend. Still, beware of divergence within power stocks.
Longhua’s second wave, Yunnan Energy Control, has been active for two days, with a short-term rebound anchored by a double-top pattern. If divergence occurs at this double-top tomorrow, consider taking profits.
Identifying shifts in core stocks like Jinkai New Energy and Dongfang New Energy:
In yesterday’s review, I mentioned these are related to capital rotation. Dongfang New Energy showed weakness in the morning, giving Jinkai New Energy a gap-up expectation. The market’s rebound was driven by resonance, but this strategy tests real-time reaction and has been overextended today. Future moves are unpredictable; focus on core sectors.
Trend core stocks like Huadian Energy:
Today, it broke below the 5-day moving average but was quickly supported and recovered. In the next phase, some stocks will be eliminated during sector divergence, but it’s uncertain which ones. Be cautious.
High rotation stocks like Zhejiang New Energy and LiaoNeng Energy:
Follow the logic of capital rotation—if they strengthen during divergence, they can be watched; if not, they risk being eliminated. The third wave of the sector remains uncertain unless market volatility becomes extreme, which could allow for a third wave.
Other stocks in rotation and recovery include ShaoNeng Shares, Energy Conservation Wind Power, Guangdong Power A, etc.
(2) Photovoltaics
Sentiment core: Zhongli Group
Zhongli Group is a sector strength anchor. When this stock was not yet open for trading, the sector continued to rotate and fill gaps. Besides power, the photovoltaic sector is relatively complete. Currently, the sector is in a 3-2-1 pattern. Looking ahead to a new cycle, the next wave depends on whether the power sector’s divergence can strengthen the photovoltaic sector. Since photovoltaics resonate with the index, waiting for the index to continue its trend is necessary.
Shift in ranks: Tuori New Energy
This stock has dual attributes—photovoltaic and power. Based on recent chips, multiple waves of upward movement could form a trend. Don’t expect continuous daily limit-ups; participation is less meaningful unless the index continues to strengthen.
Capacity trend: GCL System Integration
The sector resonates with the index, but this stock’s feedback is average. It can be expected to follow the index, so monitor tomorrow’s market for further confirmation.
(3) Chemical Industry
Sentiment core: Jinniu Chemical
Maintain yesterday’s view: if the next power sector divergence occurs and the chemical sector doesn’t strengthen, consider exiting. Daily, some funds are rotating out; missing this opportunity means losing value.
III. Sector Analysis
Power Sector:
This sector has been the main theme during the current downtrend, with a notable climax today, especially in the late session when core stocks surged. Tomorrow, focus on Yunnan Energy Control’s double-top and Hua Liao’s support.
Photovoltaics:
As mentioned, this is the second most complete sector after power. Yesterday’s countertrend rally in robotics did not sustain, but photovoltaics continued to resonate. If the index continues to recover short-term, focus on photovoltaics, which is straightforward to trade.
Broad Technology:
Mainly AI, storage, optical fibers, CPO, PCB, etc. Rotation continues, but sustained expectations should be cautious. The strongest segment remains optical fibers; chasing the strongest stocks is risky.
Military and Healthcare:
Since early 2026, these sectors have been in a continuous correction. During this market decline, the first sectors to recover are military and healthcare. With no positive news, they are expected to rebound temporarily, but the height of the rebound is hard to predict. These are two key sectors to watch in the short term.
IV. Tomorrow’s Trading Plan
Today’s market recovery is a typical oversold rebound. It’s too early to judge sustainability; the movement today was within expectations. Given the upcoming divergence in the power sector, rushing in blindly could lead to mistakes. Tomorrow, it’s best to observe and decide based on market signals.
I hope friends who support me will like and cheer for me, support this review post to make the data look good, and attract more followers. That’s my motivation to keep updating and sharing real trading results! Once I reach 10,000 followers, I plan to host live sessions. From my perspective, understanding short-term patterns, everyone can become a short-term expert!
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