UBS raised its oil price forecasts for 2026-2027

CycleProphet · 2026-03-20T15:06:09+00:00

UBS Group raises its oil price forecasts for 2026-2027 to $86/barrel and $80/barrel respectively, citing the closure of the Strait of Hormuz and an anticipated 2-3 week continuation of Middle East tensions. Although flows will partially recover, they will not return to completely normal levels.

CycleProphet

2026-03-20 15:06:09

Abstract generation in progress

深潮 TechFlow 消息，3 月 20 日，据金十数据报道，瑞银集团上调了其对2026至2027年期间的油价预测，以反映霍尔木兹海峡的关闭以及中东地区持续的冲突局势。瑞银将2026年油价预测上调了14美元，至86美元/桶；将2027年油价预测价格上调了10美元，至80美元/桶。分析师表示：“这一预测基于这样的假设，即冲突将再持续2至3周，直至4月初，而通过霍尔木兹海峡的石油流量仍将严重减少。我们假设主要油田和终端不会受损，从4月起通过霍尔木兹海峡的流量将逐步恢复，但不会完全恢复正常。”

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