A trader on the Polymarket platform, known by the account SCssss, unexpectedly showed activity after more than a year of silence, making a bold investment of 150,000 dollars. This time his position concerns an extraordinary topic — he is betting that the USA will officially confirm the existence of extraterrestrial life within the next one to two years, while current odds give such an event a probability of only 16.8%.

The return of this trader to the prediction market attracts attention primarily due to the contrast with his previous bet. A year ago, he risked 50,000 dollars on Harris winning the 2024 US presidential election — and lost that capital. Such a history of failure could serve as a warning, however, the trader clearly did not back down, deciding to return to the Polymarket platform with a new scenario.

The scale of the current investment prompts speculation among analysts. Either this trader possesses non-trivial information about possible official statements, or his strategy is based on long-term conviction in the inevitability of the truth about extraterrestrial life being revealed. Such large positions on prediction platforms typically reflect serious market participants' views on future events, although, of course, they do not guarantee their accuracy.