4-Hour Nine-Stroke Central Hub Sharp Rise Pattern, Strong Oscillation Still Targets New Highs

This wave of rallies starting from the 60K level completed an upward breakout on March 4th, then surged all the way to around 76,000 USD. Although resistance and pullbacks appeared during this period, the overall structure remained strong throughout, fully conforming to our previously predicted nine-stroke central hub upgrade sharp rise pattern.

First, let's focus on the pullback structure. This wave's ninth-stroke downside exploration never broke below the previous central hub's lower edge, only the pullback depth exceeded most people's expectations. Many traders were easily shaken out during this sharp decline, with the essential reason being distracted by price fluctuations while ignoring the core structure. This round of deep pullback wasn't structural deterioration, but rather compounded by the sudden news impact of the US-Iran conflict—the conflict erupted during the weekend when the market lacked mainstream capital actively stepping in to buy, triggering short-term selling pressure. The main force's washout intensity indeed exceeded conventional levels, but structurally remained healthy.

After obtaining effective support, the market on March 9th directly opened a counterattack at market open. For this rally's intensity, we clearly emphasized in our previous stroke analysis: the ninth-stroke rise must exceed the previous stroke's exit from the central hub segment. From the current trend, we can clearly see that this rally's lifting force and upward amplitude are notably stronger than the previous segment. All conditions for the sharp rise pattern have been completely satisfied, and the structure is confirmed as effective.

Next comes the question everyone cares most about: has this rally ended?

At the 76,000 USD level, the market did show a top divergence signal, but we cannot determine trend reversal solely based on this top divergence. From the price performance, the pullback from 76K to 74K has an extremely small pullback range, which itself is an extremely strong bullish signal.

Many traders fall into a misconception: believing that a 4-hour top divergence must correspond to a deep 4-hour pullback. Actually, this isn't necessarily the case. The key is whether the internal 30-minute trend type possesses destructive power. Currently, the 30-minute central hub structure is clear and complete, with no serious breakdown, merely high-level strong oscillation. Therefore, this 4-hour top divergence is not worthy of concern.

Even if a 4-hour adjustment does occur subsequently, it will most likely form the classic three-buy structure in Chan Theory. According to the current central hub drawing method, as long as price doesn't retreat below 71,000 USD, it qualifies as the strongest 4-hour three-buy. After the adjustment concludes, it will continue attacking upward.

From a target perspective, this rally's resistance zone is in the 78,000—79,000 USD range, and ideally would directly challenge the previous resistance level above 80,000 USD. Here we need to remind everyone that the 78K—79K zone is a key trendline position that most technical traders can identify. Many will choose to hold positions or take profits in this area, so when price touches this level, there will likely be more intense oscillations and deeper false breakout washouts. This requires psychological preparation in advance. #BTC #Gate13周年全球庆典 $BTC