Today is March 18th, marking this week's most critical macro event——the Federal Reserve FOMC interest rate decision meeting. Markets are trading generally strong ahead of the news release.

Today's Key Macro Event: Federal Reserve FOMC Meeting
Meeting Time: March 18th (today) 14:00 ET (March 19th 02:00 Beijing time) policy statement release, 14:30 ET Powell press conference

Bitcoin (BTC) Daily Analysis
Bitcoin extended its strength yesterday and is currently holding above $74,000, with technicals showing a bullish alignment.
· Key Levels:
· Current Price: Trading around 74500
· Resistance Above: Watch short-term resistance at 76000; if volume breaks through, next target is above 78000
· Support Below: First support at 72600, strong support at 71,000
· Trading Strategies:
· Caution Before Event: Before FOMC results, recommend controlling position size and avoiding heavy speculation
· Range Trading: Conservative traders can fade highs/buy dips in the 72600-76500 range with strict stops
· Breakout Trading: If price breaks above 76000 on volume, can add to longs with light positions, target 78000; if breaks below 72600, wait on sidelines for stabilization signals near 71000
· Aggressive Strategy: Can go long near 73500, target 75500

Ethereum (ETH) Daily Analysis
Ethereum is performing even stronger.
· Key Levels:
· Current Price: Trading around 2300-2360
· Resistance Above: Watch short-term resistance at 2380, next resistance at 2575
· Support Below: First support at 2220, strong support at 2138, deeper support at 2050
· Trading Strategies:
· Key Breakout Trade: If price holds above 2380, can chase longs, target 2450, stop loss below 2325
· Aggressive Strategy: Can go long near 2300, target 2400, stop loss 2050

Today's Risk Warnings
1. FOMC Meeting Result Uncertainty: Powell's press conference language will dominate market repricing of rate path expectations, with extremely high short-term volatility. Historical data shows 7 out of 8 FOMC meetings in 2025 saw bitcoin decline post-meeting; January 2026 similarly saw post-meeting decline.
2. "Stagflation" Dilemma: The Fed faces a dual mandate conflict——weak employment needs easing support while rising inflation requires tightening. February non-farm payrolls unexpectedly declined 92,000, while January inflation indicators rebounded, compounded by surging oil prices.
3. Institutional Divergence: Citi downgraded long-term forecasts, but spot ETFs show continuous net inflows. Fear & Greed Index read 28 on March 17th (fear), but market sentiment is recovering.