Evening Bitcoin Analysis

1. Current Market Status
Current price 73680, 15-minute candles showing consecutive bearish closes, weak oscillation following a pullback from highs. Capital still showing net inflow of $486 million, indicating the major trend hasn't turned bearish—this is short-term washout consolidation.

2. Key Levels
- Support zone: 73500–73800 (recent lows + lower oscillation band, core bull defense level)
- Resistance zone: 74200–74400 (intra-day rebound highs + previous highs, key bear pressure level)

3. Trading Strategy
- Long: Dip to 73500–73800 with 15-minute stabilization bullish candle → Enter
- Rationale: Net capital inflow with intact support suggests high bounce probability, suitable for dip buying
- Short: Rally to 74200–74400 with 15-minute pressure bearish candle → Enter
- Rationale: Short-term upside momentum weakening, previous resistance weighs heavy, suitable for profit taking at highs

4. Risk Management & Targets

- Stop loss: 300 points each direction
- Target: Reduce position at opposite zone edge (long targets 74200, short targets 73800) for profit taking

5. Breakout Response
- If volume breaks above 74400: Follow the trend long, watch for new highs
- If volume breaks below 73500: Follow the trend short, watch for 73000
- During range-bound oscillation: Don't chase entries, only trade both ends, avoid whipsaw losses #比特币站上7.5万美元