Polymarket users show severe profit divergence, with only 30% of addresses achieving profitability

According to the latest statistics from on-chain data analyst defioasis.eth, the profit and loss distribution on the mainstream prediction market platform Polymarket is highly uneven. Out of over 1.73 million trading addresses, the majority of participants are in a concerning profit/loss situation.

About 70% of Participants Are in Loss

Data shows that approximately 70% of trading addresses on Polymarket have incurred losses, while only 30% are in profit. This means that 7 out of every 10 traders are losing money, reflecting the high-risk nature of prediction market trading. Among these losing addresses, over 63.5% have relatively small losses, not exceeding $1,000. However, there are extreme cases—149 addresses have losses exceeding $1 million.

Top Profit Makers Dominate Over 70% of Gains

Profit distribution in the market is also skewed. Although 30% of addresses are profitable, the gains are not evenly distributed. The top 0.0385% of profit-making addresses control over 70% of total profits, amounting to $3.7 billion. This indicates that a small number of elite traders are capturing the vast majority of the market’s profits.

The Majority of Users Are Small-Scale Profiters

Among the remaining profitable addresses, nearly 25% have made profits but only in the range of $0–1,000, accounting for less than 1% of total profits. This shows that most successful participants earn limited gains, in stark contrast to the top profit-makers.

It is worth noting that this analysis is based on realized profit and loss data and does not include users’ floating open positions, so the actual market risk may be even more complex.