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Bear Market Five-Wave Structure Complete Review: Wave Four Ending, Wave Five Targeting 40,000. The current price of Bitcoin is 72,400. The previously defined five-wave decline structure in the bear market has now entered the final rebound of Wave Four, and the trend is fully in line with expectations.
Daily Level: Breaking below the long-term upward trend line, signaling the official end of the bull market. Wave one experienced a sharp decline, Wave two rebounded 17,000 points over 50 days, Wave three plummeted 38,000 points; all these rhythms have been fulfilled. The current Wave Four rebound replicates Wave Two's pattern, approaching the end as it touches the downward trend line.
Four-Hour Level: Price is oscillating upward within the yellow zone. Last night, at 74,000 points, it faced double resistance from the upper boundary of the zone and the Fibonacci 0.382 level, causing a pullback. The short-term trend matches precisely.
Follow-up Prediction: After Wave Four ends, expect an equal-distance collapse in Wave Five, with the ultimate bottom locked between 38,000 and 40,000.
Trading Recommendations:
Futures: Short at the upper boundary of the zone, long at the lower boundary, with strict stop-loss on breakouts.
Spot: Wait for a black swan event in the first half of the year; around 40,000 is a strategic entry opportunity.
From the start of the bear market to now, the structure, turning points, and amplitude have been precisely grasped. Follow the trend and patiently wait for the bear market bottom to land.
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