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PolyBeats pre-locked insider address bets on Saudi Arabia's strike against Iran, with a 56% probability at the time of reporting.
Today, BlockBeats’ prediction market channel PolyBeats detected approximately 4 hours in advance that an account with insider information and policy response accuracy down to the hour invested $8,500 on Polymarket, buying the option “Saudi Arabia will strike Iran before March 31.” At the time of reporting, this option had a 56% probability. Five minutes ago, an Israeli senior official revealed that Saudi Arabia is expected to launch an attack on Iran soon. The prediction market now shows 100% settlement. This insider account was registered only 8 days ago. From February 22 to 28, the account bet on “The U.S. will not strike Iran that day” for 7 consecutive days and won every time. On February 27, the account cleared its holdings of the “No” position on the 28th and, eight hours later, placed its first bet on “The U.S. will strike Iran that day,” earning $34,800 (+366.61%). On February 28 at 13:55, when military strikes had not yet occurred, the probability of “The U.S. or Israel will strike that day” was only 22.5%, and “Hamaney will be ousted that day” was only 1%, the account directly bought “Yes” at market price and made a profit of $37,500 (+11,029%). ---------------------------------See tomorrow, today. Follow @PolyBeatsEN to get a glimpse of the future earlier.