BTC Technical Outlook: Bitcoin Consolidates Near Macro Base After Breakdown Below 0.236



Bitcoin remains in a corrective phase after failing to sustain acceptance above the $85,000–$93,000 resistance region, which aligns with the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone.

Repeated rejection from this supply cluster, combined with the breakdown below the ascending support structure, confirmed a transition from bullish continuation into a broader corrective trend.

Price is currently consolidating near the $66,000–$70,000 region, forming a short-term base after an extended decline from the $100K+ highs. This area now acts as a critical decision zone for BTC’s next directional move.

EMA Structure (Bearish to Neutral Bias)

20 EMA: $72,128

50 EMA: $79,647

100 EMA: $86,679

200 EMA: $93,349

BTC is trading below all major EMAs, with the 20 & 50 EMA cluster acting as immediate dynamic resistance.

The EMA alignment remains bearish, confirming sellers still dominate medium-term momentum. Any upside attempt is likely to face supply between $72,000–$80,000 unless reclaimed with strong volume and continuation.

Fibonacci & Price Structure

0.786 Fib: $111,968

0.618 Fib: $100,856

0.5 Fib: $93,051

0.382 Fib: $85,246

0.236 Fib: $75,589

Fib 0 (Macro Base): $59,980

BTC failed to hold above the 0.382–0.5 cluster, confirming continuation of the corrective structure.

Price has decisively broken below the 0.236 ($75,589) level and is now stabilizing above the macro base region.

A breakdown below $66,000 would expose BTC to the $60,000 macro base, while holding this zone could allow a relief bounce toward higher resistance levels.

RSI Momentum

RSI is currently trading around 32–35, reflecting neutral-bearish momentum.

While downside momentum has slowed after reaching near-oversold conditions, RSI remains below the 50 equilibrium level — suggesting consolidation rather than confirmed reversal.

📊 Key Levels

Resistance

$72,000–$75,500 (EMA + 0.236 zone)

$85,246 (0.382 Fib)

$93,051 (0.5 Fib)

$100,856 (0.618 Fib)

Support

$66,000–$68,000 (local demand)

$59,980 (macro base / Fib 0)

RSI: 32–35 — neutral-bearish

📌 Summary

Bitcoin is consolidating after a prolonged corrective decline, holding above a critical demand zone near $66K.

While selling pressure has cooled and price is attempting stabilization, the broader structure remains bearish below $75,500–$85,000.

A sustained recovery requires BTC to reclaim $75,589 (0.236) and then stabilize above $85K, while a breakdown below $66K would likely trigger continuation toward the $60K macro base.

$BTC #What’sNextforBitcoin?
BTC-1,31%
post-image
post-image
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
  • Reward
  • 2
  • 1
  • Share
Comment
0/400
Ryakpandavip
· 17h ago
Wishing you great wealth in the Year of the Horse 🐴
View OriginalReply0
User_anyvip
· 18h ago
LFG 🔥
Reply0
  • Pin

Trade Crypto Anywhere Anytime
qrCode
Scan to download Gate App
Community
  • 简体中文
  • English
  • Tiếng Việt
  • 繁體中文
  • Español
  • Русский
  • Français (Afrique)
  • Português (Portugal)
  • Bahasa Indonesia
  • 日本語
  • بالعربية
  • Українська
  • Português (Brasil)