State Street's 2026 'grey swan' warning: AI 'fails to scale'

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State Street has issued a “grey swan” warning for 2026, suggesting that artificial intelligence (AI) could fail to scale up from its current niche applications, leading to a significant economic downturn. The firm’s annual report outlines a scenario where AI’s inability to transition to broader, scaled adoption results in job losses, reduced investment, and a GDP contraction in major economies. This warning highlights a potential dark side to the current AI hype, envisioning a future where technological promises fall short of expectations, negatively impacting global markets and financial stability.

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