February 4, 2026 11:30 (UTC+8), ETH is currently trading at $2265, with a 24-hour low of $2103, down approximately 1.8%. The bearish dominance remains unchanged, weak corrections show no reversal, and rebound momentum is insufficient.

📊 Key Levels and Indicator Overview

- Resistance: $2300-2320 (strong resistance), $2380-2400; Support: $2200 (strong support), $2103, $2080.
- Moving Averages: 50/200-day moving averages are in a bearish alignment, with the price below the 20-day moving average, indicating strong bearish pressure.
- RSI(: 14): 28-30, extreme oversold, weak rebound signals no reversal.
- MACD(: Daily): Bearish crossover persists, strong bearish momentum, histogram not clearly converging.
- Volume: Increasing volume on declines, decreasing volume on rebounds, insufficient buying pressure, selling pressure continues.
- Pattern: 4-hour Bollinger Bands opening downward, price moving along the lower band, clear bearish channel.

⚙️ Trading Strategies (by type)

- Contract Strategy (Aggressive): Short at $2300-2320 on rebound, stop-loss at $2350, target $2220-2200, break below to $2150-2103, position size ≤ 2%.
- Spot Strategy (Conservative): Mainly observe, gradually add light positions: around $2200 at 1-2%; if $2103 stabilizes, add another 1-2%, total position ≤ 3%, stop-loss below $2050.
- Mid-term Strategy (Positioning): If $2080 breaks effectively, medium-term target $2000-1900, wait for weekly volume contraction to confirm bottoming, RSI divergence before re-entering.

⚠️ Risk Management Points

- Contracts: Strictly prohibit high leverage, use small positions + strict stop-loss to prevent liquidation from extreme volatility.
- Liquidity: Rebounds with decreasing volume, beware of sharp pullbacks, control slippage risk.
- Correlation: Closely monitor BTC, US stocks, and macroeconomic volatility; news may intensify fluctuations.
#加密市场隔夜V型震荡 $ETH