BTC's 60-Day Moving Average and Accumulation Cycle - Is a Breakout $107K Coming Soon?

BTC is currently in the final stage of a 60-day accumulation cycle within the $80,000-$83,000 price range. According to analyses from experts, the nature of the moving average in this case plays a crucial role in determining whether a strong rally targeting $107,000 could occur in the coming days.

The Nature of Moving Averages in Technical Analysis

The nature of moving averages is a tool to help investors identify long-term trends and market inflection points. In the current BTC situation, Digital Asset Research assesses that the accumulation pressure from recent days is gradually being released.

Moving averages can indicate when a new trend is about to form. For the first time since May 2025, the 30-day moving average has crossed above the 90-day moving average — a bullish crossover signal historically preceding major rallies. This crossover reflects a change in the nature of the moving average as the market begins transitioning from an accumulation phase to an uptrend.

FOMO Signal and Pressure Release

Renowned trader Bob Loukas forecasts that if market conditions support, BTC could surpass $107,000 in the near future. Currently, BTC is at $83.06K, down 1.51% in 24 hours.

The FOMO signal — short for “Fear Of Missing Out” — has started to appear in the market. Analysts warn that the 58-day accumulation squeeze is gradually releasing, and if history repeats itself, an explosive move could happen at any moment.

Price Levels to Watch for Risks

However, not everything is optimistic. Glassnode warns that market confidence is currently at an average level, and there is a significant risk from leveraged long positions concentrated between $86.2K and $89.1K.

If a liquidation sweep occurs at these levels, leveraged traders will be forced to close positions, potentially adding selling pressure before the uptrend truly begins. Unlike past accumulation cycles, political tensions surrounding EU/Greenland tariffs are escalating, which could delay any rally unless a solution is found.

Technical Scenario: Next Pathways

We are in the final 48 hours of this 60-day cycle, the decisive moments before the market reveals its direction.

Optimistic scenario: BTC reclaims and surpasses $93.4K to confirm the journey to $107K, breaking through key technical resistances.

Conservative scenario: A correction down to $86.2K will sweep leveraged orders before a stronger uptrend begins. The nature of the moving average in this case will help determine the extent of any correction.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute professional investment advice. Please conduct thorough research and proper risk management before making any trading decisions.