1) General Overview • Price: ~$0.026 • Market Cap: ~$477M • Volume: ~$20M (sharp increase – +400%+) • Liquidity: ~$1.08M (weak relative to MC) • Risk Score: 70/100 (medium–high risk) 2) Holder structure (most critical factor) • Top 100 addresses: ~84% of supply → very high concentration • Top 2–3 wallets hold >55% of supply • This structure creates a risk of a sharp dump at any moment 3) “What are holders doing?” • Top 100 balance ↓ (~-9.75%) • Exchange balance ↓ (~-42%) • This indicates "selling out" on one side and distribution via OTC/LP on the other • Even if the price rises, balances decrease → distribution phase signal 4) DEX Trades (last 24h) • Token Millionaire & High Balance wallets: • Consecutive SELL operations • There are BUYs, but SELLs are more aggressive • Classic scenario: retail buys, smart money sells 5) Transfers / LP movements • Large amounts Uniswap LP → mint / increaseLiquidity / multicall • This usually means: • Playing with liquidity • Price is held up and gradually released 6) Technical view (short) • V-recovery after the initial dump • Weak wicks above now + volume surge • A sharp pullback is historically expected at this stage ⸻ Conclusion (concrete) The risk is very high. Based on this data, at this stage: • Long is not recommended • For those with risk management, SELL / partial SELL is more logical Recommended scenario: • Spot holders: exit gradually • New entry: NO (wait until after the dump) • Futures: only for experienced traders, short bias, tight stop-loss $STABLE
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DragonFlyOfficial
· 9h ago
Focus on structure, manage risk, and stay patient.
$STABLE #stable #btc #GoldBreaks$5,500 #Sell:
1) General Overview
• Price: ~$0.026
• Market Cap: ~$477M
• Volume: ~$20M (sharp increase – +400%+)
• Liquidity: ~$1.08M (weak relative to MC)
• Risk Score: 70/100 (medium–high risk)
2) Holder structure (most critical factor)
• Top 100 addresses: ~84% of supply → very high concentration
• Top 2–3 wallets hold >55% of supply
• This structure creates a risk of a sharp dump at any moment
3) “What are holders doing?”
• Top 100 balance ↓ (~-9.75%)
• Exchange balance ↓ (~-42%)
• This indicates "selling out" on one side and distribution via OTC/LP on the other
• Even if the price rises, balances decrease → distribution phase signal
4) DEX Trades (last 24h)
• Token Millionaire & High Balance wallets:
• Consecutive SELL operations
• There are BUYs, but SELLs are more aggressive
• Classic scenario: retail buys, smart money sells
5) Transfers / LP movements
• Large amounts Uniswap LP → mint / increaseLiquidity / multicall
• This usually means:
• Playing with liquidity
• Price is held up and gradually released
6) Technical view (short)
• V-recovery after the initial dump
• Weak wicks above now + volume surge
• A sharp pullback is historically expected at this stage
⸻
Conclusion (concrete)
The risk is very high.
Based on this data, at this stage:
• Long is not recommended
• For those with risk management, SELL / partial SELL is more logical
Recommended scenario:
• Spot holders: exit gradually
• New entry: NO (wait until after the dump)
• Futures: only for experienced traders, short bias, tight stop-loss
$STABLE