The core logic of this round of adjustment is actually very simple: a rebound is an opportunity, and bears need to stay firm to the end.
As of now, the market has already fallen over 10,000 points. The rebound after touching the low last night is essentially a self-repair of market sentiment, mainly a technical retracement, and it’s far from signaling a bottom. Don’t be fooled by this rebound—waiting for a true bottom still requires more time, and it’s not there yet.
Looking at the market structure, today’s trend actually follows a very clear rhythm: the European and American sessions dominated the entire decline, with this time window being quite precise. As long as the volume during the rebound doesn’t match the move and key resistances aren’t broken, it’s all good opportunities for shorting.
Now, considering the broader cycle background: when the interest rate cut cycle reaches its latter half, it’s rarely a stage for bullish enthusiasm; instead, it’s a favorite hunting ground for bears. Positive data has already been digested, and market sentiment is retreating accordingly. The real downward move has just begun. Therefore, tonight’s outlook remains bearish, with confidence in the continuation of the downtrend.
Operational suggestions are as follows: Consider short positions on Bitcoin in the 90500-91200 range, with initial targets at 88000 and 86500. If it breaks below, watch for 84000. For Ethereum, short in the 3030-3060 range, with initial targets at 2900 and 2860. If it breaks key support, look for 2700.
The market is still in a correction cycle, and patience in waiting for confirmation signals is crucial.
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mev_me_maybe
· 6h ago
A rebound is a gift to the bears; don't be soft this time.
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HodlOrRegret
· 6h ago
A rebound is just a window for cutting leeks; the bears still need to continue their fierce fight.
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If I can't see the bottom at 88000, I'll just gg.
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The latter half of the rate cut is indeed a feast for the bears; this logic is sound.
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Rebounds that don't match the volume are all traps; I believe in this.
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Bitcoin is probably going back to 84K after this drop; those with guts can wait.
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It's "patience and wait" again; wait for what time?
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During the European and American sessions, this move is really a perfect trap; continue to look for short opportunities tomorrow.
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Entering a short at Ethereum 3030 is indeed tempting; just see if it can break 2700.
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The rebound is so small it's pitiful; as long as the bears hold steady, they win.
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I was fooled again by last night's rebound; this time I learned my lesson.
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DAOdreamer
· 6h ago
A rebound is a feast for the bears. I still believe in this logic.
It's the same old story... Rebound = opportunity, bears not easing up, I think it still holds.
The second half after the rate cut is indeed not fun. The bulls should have gone to sleep already.
Just drop it on me directly on 8.6, don't hesitate.
Waiting to see how far this drop can go; anyway, rebounds are all fake.
Suddenly I feel this analysis has some substance; the point about the persistence of the bears is quite accurate.
Experienced traders really understand the rhythm; that move during the European and American sessions was truly precise.
I’m optimistic this wave can break 84; don’t fool me with another rebound.
Bitcoin can’t escape this framework no matter how much it jumps; bears are a bit steady.
This year, bears are in the spotlight. Bulls, my brother, mourn your loss.
January 22 Evening Market Summary
The core logic of this round of adjustment is actually very simple: a rebound is an opportunity, and bears need to stay firm to the end.
As of now, the market has already fallen over 10,000 points. The rebound after touching the low last night is essentially a self-repair of market sentiment, mainly a technical retracement, and it’s far from signaling a bottom. Don’t be fooled by this rebound—waiting for a true bottom still requires more time, and it’s not there yet.
Looking at the market structure, today’s trend actually follows a very clear rhythm: the European and American sessions dominated the entire decline, with this time window being quite precise. As long as the volume during the rebound doesn’t match the move and key resistances aren’t broken, it’s all good opportunities for shorting.
Now, considering the broader cycle background: when the interest rate cut cycle reaches its latter half, it’s rarely a stage for bullish enthusiasm; instead, it’s a favorite hunting ground for bears. Positive data has already been digested, and market sentiment is retreating accordingly. The real downward move has just begun. Therefore, tonight’s outlook remains bearish, with confidence in the continuation of the downtrend.
Operational suggestions are as follows:
Consider short positions on Bitcoin in the 90500-91200 range, with initial targets at 88000 and 86500. If it breaks below, watch for 84000.
For Ethereum, short in the 3030-3060 range, with initial targets at 2900 and 2860. If it breaks key support, look for 2700.
The market is still in a correction cycle, and patience in waiting for confirmation signals is crucial.