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Bitcoin's RSI relative to gold drops below 30 again: in the past 4 oversold instances, strong rebounds followed. Will history repeat this time?
【Block Rhythm】Bitcoin’s RSI (Relative Strength Index) relative to gold drops below 30, an extreme oversold level, which has only happened 4 times in history. The occurrences were in 2015, 2018, 2022, and most recently in 2025. Interestingly, each of these divergences ended with a strong rebound in Bitcoin.
Let’s take a closer look. At the end of the 2015 bear market, Bitcoin’s RSI relative to gold first fell below 30, directly triggering the super bull market of 2016-2017. During the 2018 bear market, the situation was even more exaggerated—Bitcoin declined over 40%, while gold rose nearly 6% against the trend. After the RSI fell below 30, Bitcoin rebounded from its 2020 lows, with a surge of over 770%.
In 2022, it happened again. That year, Bitcoin fell nearly 60%, but after the RSI dropped below 30, Bitcoin successfully rebounded and once again outperformed gold.
Now, in 2025. Gold surged 64% last year, and in just the first 20 days of this year, it has risen another 10%. Meanwhile, the RSI of Bitcoin relative to gold has once again entered the oversold zone—this is the fourth time this has occurred in history.
Looking at past patterns, every time this signal appears, Bitcoin’s subsequent performance has not disappointed. Will this time be an exception?