【Blockchain Rhythm】Recently, there has been a subtle shift in the outlook for Bitcoin’s price movement in the prediction market. As of January 20, the market’s expectation of Bitcoin reaching $100,000 in January has been significantly lowered, with the probability dropping to 21%—this figure indicates that over seventy percent of predictors are more cautious.
Specifically, the outlook for the key level of $105,000 is more pessimistic, with only a 7% chance. Conversely, the bearish voices are also growing: the probability of falling to $85,000 is 18%, and there is a 6% expectation of dropping to $80,000. These data slices reflect the current true thoughts of the market—everyone still has some expectations for short-term breakthroughs, but they are also preparing for the possibility of more pullbacks to be safe.
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LiquidityOracle
· 14h ago
A 21% chance? Basically, everyone is pessimistic and still clinging to the 80,000 level.
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AirdropFreedom
· 14h ago
A 21% chance? Basically, everyone chickened out, and you're still hoping for 100,000.
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GweiWatcher
· 15h ago
What does a 21% probability indicate? Everyone is betting on a pullback.
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ContractExplorer
· 15h ago
What does a 21% probability indicate? Everyone is actually betting on a pullback.
Can Bitcoin break through $100,000? The prediction market has the answer
【Blockchain Rhythm】Recently, there has been a subtle shift in the outlook for Bitcoin’s price movement in the prediction market. As of January 20, the market’s expectation of Bitcoin reaching $100,000 in January has been significantly lowered, with the probability dropping to 21%—this figure indicates that over seventy percent of predictors are more cautious.
Specifically, the outlook for the key level of $105,000 is more pessimistic, with only a 7% chance. Conversely, the bearish voices are also growing: the probability of falling to $85,000 is 18%, and there is a 6% expectation of dropping to $80,000. These data slices reflect the current true thoughts of the market—everyone still has some expectations for short-term breakthroughs, but they are also preparing for the possibility of more pullbacks to be safe.