Here's a curious thing about markets: when the world fundamentally changes, investors sometimes just... pretend it didn't. They face a wall of new variables, conflicting signals, and unprecedented scenarios. The mental math becomes too complex. So what happens? Many simply opt out of the calculation altogether.
This isn't irrational exactly—it's more like cognitive overload meeting risk aversion. When you can't reliably model the new reality, maintaining your existing positions might feel safer than admitting you need to reprice everything. The alternative is paralysis: admit the uncertainty is too deep to model, or stick with yesterday's assumptions a little longer.
It's worth watching this play out in real time. Assets that should be repriced aren't. Positions that should shift sit tight. And sometimes, that collective inaction becomes its own kind of market force—until suddenly it doesn't, and everything reprices at once.
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CryptoTarotReader
· 11h ago
Basically, it's an ostrich mentality—if you can't figure it out, just pretend you didn't see it, and then when the black swan arrives, everyone will lift the sedan chair... I've seen it many times.
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ShibaOnTheRun
· 11h ago
Isn't this just the market collectively pretending to sleep? It's really hilarious. It's not surprising if everything crashes after waking up.
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SnapshotBot
· 12h ago
Well, basically, the market is collectively pretending to be dead. If you can't figure it out, just don't bother calculating.
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ContractSurrender
· 12h ago
To be honest, this is the true portrayal of most people in the crypto world... If you don't understand, just lie down and wait for the moment to be proven wrong.
Here's a curious thing about markets: when the world fundamentally changes, investors sometimes just... pretend it didn't. They face a wall of new variables, conflicting signals, and unprecedented scenarios. The mental math becomes too complex. So what happens? Many simply opt out of the calculation altogether.
This isn't irrational exactly—it's more like cognitive overload meeting risk aversion. When you can't reliably model the new reality, maintaining your existing positions might feel safer than admitting you need to reprice everything. The alternative is paralysis: admit the uncertainty is too deep to model, or stick with yesterday's assumptions a little longer.
It's worth watching this play out in real time. Assets that should be repriced aren't. Positions that should shift sit tight. And sometimes, that collective inaction becomes its own kind of market force—until suddenly it doesn't, and everything reprices at once.