2026-01-19 18:45:52

The early morning movement of ES indeed gave us a lot of inspiration, so let's discuss the technical logic.

My thinking is as follows:
First, the daily MSB forms a bearish structure. Second, a breakdown appears on the 1-hour chart, combined with the 0.5 to 0.618 retracement levels of the downward move. Additionally, the bearish Fair Value Gap on the 5-minute chart makes this an ideal entry point.

As for the target, I am focusing on the local low—an equal low often indicates stronger support and makes a rebound and rally more likely. This kind of pattern setup can give traders greater confidence.

This is a textbook example of multi-timeframe coordination; details determine success or failure.

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WalletInspector

· 18h ago

Damn, I smelled blood the moment MSB broke down, FVG this wave is indeed fierce. The multi-frame coordination makes perfect sense, but execution is really difficult, bro. The retracement level is pressed down tightly, and the rebound space is fully given, the details are really excellent. On the daily chart, the bearish setup with the 1h breakdown, and still waiting on the 5-minute chart, I really don't have that much patience. The support point where the equal sign is flat is strong, and the rebound is about to explode.

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BoredWatcher

· 20h ago

Linking multiple timeframes sounds impressive, but it's really just gambling on probabilities. That break was indeed decisive, but whether Fair Value Gap is reliable or not still depends. 0.618 retracement level so precisely? Why do I always miss it by a little? Did anyone catch the bottom in this morning's move? Did anyone really profit from the rebound? Support levels sound great, but what if it breaks below? Details determine success or failure— I love hearing that, but most of the time, details lead to losses. You're right, but I just can't do it; every time, I'm a armchair strategist after the fact.

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CoffeeOnChain

· 20h ago

The early session ES moves were indeed excellent; multi-frame coordination is stable. The bearish structure + breakdown + FVG together, entry points are spot on. Have you really been burned by local lows? Feels like every time it crashes. The saying "details determine success or failure" has been heard a thousand times, but the key is still execution. I also agree with the daily MSB bearish outlook, but the 5-minute chart feels too noisy. How to grasp the rebound amplitude after the breakdown? Directly set the target at 0.618? Anyway, I've been fooled by support levels too many times. Multi-timeframe analysis is necessary, but in real trading, which timeframe takes priority? This kind of pattern setup sounds perfect, but what about actual trading?

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ContractTester

· 20h ago

Breakout + FVG combination is something I believe in, I did manage to buy in this morning Multi-frame linkage is so powerful, the details reveal the true strength Wait, did that local low really hold? The daily chart shows a clear bearish structure... will there be repeated fluctuations later? Damn, another textbook pattern, when has reality ever been so perfect? The support level is indeed strong, the rebound space is large, and the key is to hold it I didn't notice when MSB broke out, lost a position because of it FVG is really useful, why do so many people not pay attention to it? Getting the framework linkage right is indeed stable, but the question is whether the execution can keep up

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BugBountyHunter

· 20h ago

Multi-framework coordination is indeed absolute, but execution still easily leads to a mental breakdown. There's nothing wrong with the logic from breaking down to retracement; the key is whether the lows can truly hold. This morning's move was a bit too textbook, which is actually a bit scary... I'm also watching the 0.618 level, just worried about a false breakout. The low point of the equal sign is correct; the rebound space is indeed more stable, but the premise must be broken first.

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BakedCatFanboy

· 20h ago

I have played with the multi-timeframe approach before, but it's easy to overestimate your predictive ability. That's true, but I'm still exploring whether that support level can really hold. Although the MSB breakdown signal was clear this time, real trading is another matter. FVG was identified well, but the key is the mindset at the moment of execution. The local lows are indeed interesting; I only believe in this after experiencing some pitfalls before. I've seen similar analyses of this layout, but I feel it's still necessary to watch the actual market performance. The rebound and upward movement space might be a bit optimistic, given the strong downward momentum. Waiting to see if this wave can return to that equal sign position.

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HorizonHunter

· 20h ago

I've heard this theory about multiple timeframes too many times, but I don't know how much can be earned in actual practice. I saw the break level at that moment, but maintaining the mindset is the hardest part. I need to think more about the logic of the equal sign leveling. It's both FVG and MSB; when everything seems correct, that's when it's most dangerous. This morning's move was indeed classic, but what should I do next time when the trend reverses? Details determine success or failure, no doubt, but I'm more curious about how you set your stop-loss.

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