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The storage protocol generates $4,000 per month in revenue, is a $793 million valuation reasonable?
The most straightforward way to evaluate a project is to look at its revenue data. Walrus's protocol fees in the past 30 days are only $4,289, which annualizes to just over $50,000. Compared to a nearly $8 billion FDV, this number indeed seems a bit subtle.
But this is also a common pattern in early-stage infrastructure—valuation is built on imagination, and real revenue needs time to verify. In November last year, Walrus stored 110TB of data; just over two months have passed, and this number has definitely skyrocketed. Storage costs are calculated based on data volume; the more projects connect, the steeper the growth curve.
Let's do a simple calculation. Currently, daily costs are only $37. If the number of connected projects increases tenfold, daily costs would become $370, and annual costs would rise to $135,000. Looking further ahead, demands like AI training and model storage start at the PB level, and by then, the scale of revenue and costs will be completely different.
Walrus's fee model is quite interesting—all storage fees are paid with native tokens, with 0.5% automatically burned. The current burn rate isn't very noticeable, but from a long-term perspective, it acts as a deflationary engine. Once storage demand truly explodes, the burn rate will accelerate significantly. Coupled with a circulating supply rate of only 31.5%, the supply and demand dynamics will become even more compelling.
Last December's hackathon fostered a batch of projects—storage marketplace Storewave, video platforms, and similar applications—all injecting actual usage into the protocol. These projects are launching successively this year, and fee data should reflect real improvements.
From an investment perspective, the current tokens are more like growth options. At $0.158, the market cap is about $250 million, an 80% correction from the peak of $0.76 in May last year. Most of the risk has been released. The rest of the story depends on whether the ecosystem can truly take off.
Currently, the income data looks too bleak, but once AI storage truly takes off, it could be a game changer. PB-level demand is no joke.
The combination of destruction mechanisms + low circulation rate will only show its true power once demand picks up. It's too early to tell now.
These types of projects are now just waiting for the ecosystem to explode, provided it really can explode.
The price of 0.158 is indeed quite cheap, but being cheap doesn't necessarily mean it's the bottom, understand?
Wait, if AI storage really takes off, costs could increase exponentially? Then, with a destruction mechanism combined with low circulation, the supply side could get interesting.
The key is whether the hackathon projects can really be implemented this year; otherwise, it's just a paper prosperity.
After an 80% correction, jumping in now is betting on the upside of the ecosystem taking off.
Once AI data storage scales up, the cost model might truly reverse. The question is, when will the Walrus ecosystem become truly active?
After an 80% correction, still hoping for a turnaround through options feels a bit like gambling. Let’s wait until Storewave and those applications really get off the ground.
Honestly, buying Walrus now is just betting on whether the subsequent ecosystem can support it. All talk before the data speaks is just wishful thinking.
The destruction mechanism sounds good, but right now, the monthly fee isn't even enough to plug the gaps, so talking about deflation...