XRP Now Approaching One of Two Trendlines That Previously Led to Breakouts Against Bitcoin

2026-01-17 21:36:36

Source: CryptoNewsNet Original Title: XRP Now Approaching One of Two Trendlines That Previously Led to Breakouts Against Bitcoin Original Link: Market data indicates that XRP may now be approaching the first of two trendlines that previously led to breakouts against Bitcoin.

Notably, these trendlines exist on the XRP/BTC 3-month chart and have historically presented resistance to an XRP rally against Bitcoin, capping XRP’s long-term performance even during periods of intense bullish momentum.

Data from the chart confirms that once this bullish momentum pushes past the first trendline, XRP records an initial explosive run against Bitcoin. Further, if XRP maintains the uptrend to breach the second trendline, a more substantial rally emerges. While XRP has recently underperformed against BTC, it may now be approaching the first trendline.

Key Data Points

XRP has continued to underperform compared to Bitcoin since the XRPBTC pair dropped from the 0.00003068 peak in July 2025.
This peak coincided with an XRP price run to $3.66, and while BTC has also dropped since July 2025, XRP has seen steeper declines.
From the July 2025 high, XRP collapsed 31% against Bitcoin by the end of 2025.
A recovery push at the start of 2026 has helped XRP gain by a modest 3.33% this year.
Despite the mild gain, XRP is now approaching one of two trendlines that often lead to surges against Bitcoin.

XRP Underperforms Amid Steeper Drops

These trendlines were recently highlighted by a community analyst at a time when XRP is attempting to recover some lost ground against Bitcoin. Notably, during the November 2024 to January 2025 market rally, XRP soared from 0.00000725 BTC to a 4-year high of 0.00003415 BTC.

During this period, Bitcoin also saw impressive gains, but XRP’s upsurge was much higher. However, XRP lost ground when the euphoria faded, dropping to 0.00002092 by June 2025. A rebound in July helped it reclaim a peak of 0.00003068, but this recovery effort was short-lived, and XRP has underperformed since then.

XRP Eyeing Trendline Breakout Against Bitcoin

However, XRP appears to be attempting another rebound campaign. Specifically, after an 11.9% drop against BTC in December 2025, XRP leveraged the broader market recovery in early January 2026 to rise 3.33%, with the XRPBTC pair now sitting at 0.00002170.

The 3-month chart confirms that amid this recovery, XRP is now looking to break above a resistance trendline that has capped its long-term bullish momentum. While XRP broke above this trendline multiple times in 2025, a retracement always pushed it below the mark. Now, the altcoin is eyeing another push.

Currently, the trendline sits at 0.00002537 BTC, requiring a 17% gain for XRP against Bitcoin to breach it. According to technical analysis, every time XRP decisively breaches this line, it has rallied. Meanwhile, from here, XRP could face a second resistance trendline at 0.00004287, which often leads to “full price discovery” when breached.

Historical Context

Chart data provides historical context surrounding XRP’s interactions with these trendlines. In 2020/2021, when XRP broke above the first trendline in November 2020, it soared from 0.00001741 BTC to a high of 0.00004399 BTC within the month. Also, another rally from 0.00000725 BTC to 0.00003415 BTC emerged after it breached this trendline in November 2024.

Meanwhile, XRP broke above the second trendline in mid-2024 and rallied from 0.00001 BTC to 0.00009270 BTC by January 2015. Another breach of the second trendline played out in Q2 2017, and the XRPBTC pair spiked from 0.000004 to an all-time high of 0.0002454 by May 2017.

Important Caveat

While technical analysis suggests XRP now sits at the same doorstep against Bitcoin as it did during these times before an explosive run, investors should note that past results do not guarantee future success.

For instance, XRP repeatedly breached the first trendline in 2025, but failed to capitalize on the move. There is no guarantee that this time will be different. As a result, investors should not consider this investment advice.

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