#数字资产市场动态 Does the four-year cycle really hold up?

According to traditional cycle theory, the bull market should end around October 2025, followed by a deep correction. But the issue is—each bear market has specific triggers, and it's not just a simple game of numbers on a timeline.

2026 will be different. Fields like silicon-based ecosystems, AI agents, and autonomous computing all require massive computational power. Coupled with policy expectations such as the normalization of stablecoins and reforms in crypto payments, the market is actually already laying the groundwork.

The key is where the money flows; that's where the price rises. As long as the economy continues to grow and the crypto ecosystem remains healthy and vibrant, a bear market won't come so easily. Decentralization is the trend, and no one truly likes to be regulated—that's why exchanges are all positioning themselves for on-chain trading. Hyperliquid became the leading US DEX in two years, following this very path.

Boldly speaking, after the head and shoulders pattern completes in late August 2026, $BTC is very likely to restart its upward trend. The target? 200,000 USD.