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The most watched voice in the world is beginning to stand firm. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's recent statements are so straightforward that they leave no room for compromise—"Want to intervene in monetary policy? Sorry, please step aside."
On the surface, it's a battle over interest rates, but at its core, it's a power struggle. As all sides in the market tear into each other over expectations of rate cuts, Powell suddenly reveals his true intention: even in the face of subpoenas from the Department of Justice and threats of criminal charges, he is determined to defend the independence of the Federal Reserve.
How this ultimately plays out will directly impact the real direction of your assets.
**A Hard-Core Confrontation in Reality**
Powell has indeed been having a tough time lately. On one side, inflation data remains stubborn; on the other, the White House is unequivocally pressuring for rate cuts. The Department of Justice subpoenas have only added fuel to the fire—criminal investigations are directly targeting him.
But his counterattack has a move. The DOJ's approach? Powell straightforwardly dismisses it as "just an excuse." The underlying logic is clear: the Fed sets interest rates, and it does not follow the president's preferences. In other words, he has drawn a clear line in Washington—the monetary policy is not a political bargaining chip.
How deep is the rift behind the scenes? The Trump administration has been openly calling for significant rate cuts and even threatening to replace Fed officials. Even more intense, there has been a rare split within the Fed itself: two members recently voted against the rate decision—one advocating for a 50 basis point cut, the other insisting on holding steady.
**Three Signals That Will Decide Market Trends**
Powell's strong stance this time is not bravado but a signal with several key messages. First is attitude—the Fed will not be swayed by external pressure; independence is a bottom line. Second is action—despite multiple pressures, the policy-making process will remain data-driven. The third and more critical signal is that short-term rate cut expectations may be re-priced.
What does this mean for the crypto market? It could imply adjustments in liquidity expectations and a reevaluation of valuation logic for risk assets. Powell's "tough stance" is laying the groundwork for the next phase of market volatility.