2026-01-14 04:32:26

Recently, I've been focusing on several prediction market projects on the BSC chain, which are quite interesting.

A major exchange has supported a few prediction market products on this chain, using differentiated strategies to compete for users. The three projects I am trading are Opinion, Predict, and Probable. Each of these projects has a different approach, with Probable being the most attractive to me because it adopts a zero-fee model—something quite rare in prediction markets.

The competitive logic of these projects is quite fascinating. They either rely on exchange backing for a quick start or attract trading volume through fee advantages. Probable clearly follows the latter approach, using zero fees to accumulate early users. My main focus during this period is to monitor this project and see how its growth curve develops.

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

20 Likes

Reward
20
8
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

LowCapGemHunter

· 01-17 00:46

Zero fees sound great, but how to ensure liquidity? It depends on the momentum. --- Probable's approach can indeed attract early users, but I'm worried no one will take over later. --- Hmm... The few exchanges that endorse it seem a bit more reliable, after all, they have big backers. --- The biggest concern for prediction markets is the lack of trading volume; zero fees are pointless without volume. --- Wait, are all three of these projects really still alive? Any recent news about them running away? --- How long have you been tracking Probable's growth curve? Can the data really show anything? --- This is a typical case of burning money to acquire users; fees will eventually increase, nothing new. --- Hey, is there really so much hype around prediction markets on the BSC chain? Aren't they all crowded out by sports betting and such?

View OriginalReply0

StrawberryIce

· 01-14 22:58

Zero fees sound good, but how do they make money? It's really hard to say how long Probable can last. It feels like projects endorsed by exchanges are a bit more stable... Are you really betting on Probable? This model has an inherent problem—what does no fee mean? Have you thought about it? How are Opinion and Predict doing in terms of daily active users? Is there any data? No fees make it easy for parasites; genuine liquidity users will still choose reliable options. But on the other hand, this idea is indeed innovative; it all depends on whether they can sustain it. If Probable can survive for more than three months, I’ll believe it has potential.

View OriginalReply0

ShibaSunglasses

· 01-14 05:02

I've seen quite a few tricks with zero fees, but I'm just worried about the next wave of rug pulls. These prediction markets on BSC, to be honest, Probable is indeed a bit different, but how long the growth curve can sustain is still uncertain. How to play this game of Probable mainly depends on whether the trading depth can pick up. Following Probable feels a bit like gambling, but no fees definitely makes it easier to attract users. All three are being played, you're quite bold, have you thought about the risks? I feel like Probable's move is quite risky; burning money to attract users will eventually need to be monetized. How are Opinion and Predict? Why do you prefer Probable? How long can zero fees last? That's the real question.

View OriginalReply0

CryptoGoldmine

· 01-14 04:59

Zero fees can indeed easily attract initial users, but the key is retention. Ultimately, the fee advantage boils down to product experience and trading depth.

View OriginalReply0

MoonRocketTeam

· 01-14 04:58

Zero fees are a brilliant move, Probable is using supply pods to attract astronauts onboard. I'm also watching Probable's growth curve, it feels like they're fueling up for the next launch. The prediction market on BSC is now a chaotic scene, the fee battle has definitely started. How long zero fees can last is a question, but it definitely has some substance. This round is about using dopamine to attract users, and once the scale is enough, other strategies will come into play. I'm also playing on Probable, right now it's just about whether it can break through the orbital resistance. Fee advantages are always effective in the crypto world. DYOR is DYOR, but you still have to follow.

View OriginalReply0

SerumSquirrel

· 01-14 04:56

Zero fees sound great, but I'm just worried about getting cut later. How long can this Probable wave last? The ones endorsed by exchanges should have already taken off. All three are playing, so no worries about distraction. In the prediction market, it still depends on who can build liquidity first. Fee differentiation? Ultimately, it still comes down to user experience and credibility. This round is really intense; let's see who can survive until the end. Is Probable's no-fee approach just a gimmick or a real strategy? It all depends on trading volume data. There are so many projects on the BSC chain, it feels like the elimination race has just begun.

View OriginalReply0

MEVHunterX

· 01-14 04:51

Zero transaction fees sound good, but how many can really survive? Probable's move is basically burning money to acquire users; how to monetize later is the real trap. Projects like these on BSC are crowded, and within two months, they get flattened in differentiation. Endorsement from exchanges is indeed useful, but something like Opinion is quite awkward. The question is, how long can a no-fee model last? Eventually, they need to recover costs. Probable's growth curve is worth watching, but I'm more curious about its user retention. These prediction markets, to put it simply, still rely on liquidity to survive; without sedimentation, it's hard to grow big. Have you thought about which of these three projects is most likely to exit?

View OriginalReply0

FallingLeaf

· 01-14 04:43

I've seen this zero-fee trick too many times; in the end, it's still about relying on liquidity.

View OriginalReply0