#MSCI未排除数字资产财库企业纳入范围 Why is the "simple method" in the trading market the most profitable?

There are thousands of traders in the crypto world—chasing hot trends, trading news, going all-in on gut feelings... but those who truly make it to the end and multiply their assets often do one thing that’s considered the "least exciting"—strictly following trading discipline.

I have a trading friend who doesn’t have any profound theoretical background, but he adheres to a set of seemingly basic rules. Over the years, he started with small capital and grew it to a million-level size. The brilliance of this method lies in the fact that it doesn’t aim to win every trade but achieves long-term compound growth through high win rates + risk management.

**Core Methodology: Four Iron Rules**

**Rule 1: Use the daily MACD as the primary signal source**

Multi-timeframe analysis can easily lead to conflicting signals, and news can more easily cause emotional interference. Instead of getting tangled in these, focus on the single signal of the daily MACD golden cross—this indicates the critical point where the medium-term trend shifts from negative to positive. Especially when the golden cross occurs above the zero line, it often signals strong continuation. Simplicity doesn’t mean inefficiency; on the contrary, it avoids decision paralysis caused by overanalysis.

**Rule 2: The daily moving average is the defensive line**

If the price stays above the daily moving average, it indicates the bulls are in control in the short term. If it effectively breaks below, exit immediately—don’t wait for a rebound or hope for a reversal. Discipline itself is part of profitability. The power of this line is that it’s simple to judge and sufficiently objective, eliminating subjective judgment.

**Rule 3: Price-volume resonance is the real entry signal**

A price breakthrough above the daily moving average is just the first step; only with volume confirmation can you verify that real funds are involved, not false breakouts. This check may seem redundant but actually filters out at least 30% of false signals. The position addition strategy after entry is also very restrained—reduce one-third of the position when up 40% to lock in profits, reduce another third at 80%, leaving one-third to aim for larger gains. If the price breaks below the daily moving average, decisively clear all remaining positions.

**Rule 4: Stop-loss is the lifeline**

If the price falls below the daily moving average the day after purchase, close all positions unconditionally. This rule tests your psychology—because often you get caught after buying, but this decisiveness keeps your account healthy in the long run. No matter how good the prediction or fundamental analysis, risk management is more important. Wait until the price stabilizes above the daily moving average before looking for re-entry opportunities.

**Why is this set of rules suitable for retail investors?**

It doesn’t require mastering complex derivatives trading, high leverage, daily monitoring, or precise news analysis. More importantly, its success doesn’t rely on one big profit trade but on probability and compound growth—if the win rate can be maintained above 55%, risk management can lead to long-term positive expected returns.

The crypto world is full of temptations: dreams of overnight riches, longing to buy the dip and sell the top, obsession with insider news... but history repeatedly proves that those who make it to the end are often traders who simplify complexity and rationalize emotions. Sticking to rules may seem "dumb," but on the timeline of probability, this "dumbness" is the highest form of wisdom.