🧵 Is there a relationship between the dollar interest rate and Bitcoin $BTC ?

Let's break down the relationship with numbers, not slogans 🤝

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In the name of God, let's start with the numbers, not words:

🚀 2016–2018 Cycle
Bitcoin increased 52X
✔️ and the interest rate rose from 0.25% ← 1.50%
📈 Bull market + rising interest rate

🔻 Bull market 2018-2019
Interest rate dropped from 2.50% ← 0.25%
And Bitcoin dropped with it
📉 Bear market + falling interest rate

🚀 2020–2021 Cycle
Bitcoin increased 18X from 68K ← 3.5K
✔️ and the interest rate remained steady at 0.25%
📈 Bull market + steady interest rate

🔻 Bear market 2021-2022
Interest rate dropped from 2.50% ← 0.25%
And Bitcoin dropped with it
📉 Bear market + falling interest rate

🚀 2022–2025 Cycle
Bitcoin increased 6X from 126K ← 16K
✔️ and the interest rate rose from 0.25% ← 5.50%
📈 Bull market + rising interest rate

✅ Today, interest rates are decreasing, and Bitcoin is roughly decreasing with them.

✅ Summary:
There is no fixed causal relationship between Bitcoin and interest rates.
Bitcoin is an asset like gold and is called digital gold.
It moves according to:
▪️ Liquidity
▪️ Cycle
▪️ Behavior
While the interest rate as a number is not very important.

Connecting the market solely to interest rates is a flawed simplification…
And cycles have proven that.

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