2026-01-08 10:23:25

Recently, I came up with an interesting trading idea. I took a short position on silver in the prediction market—betting directly that silver will not hit a new high in January. At the same time, I followed the $XAG 4-hour chart on the futures platform, carefully analyzing the trend. Silver indeed shows signs of a double top, which makes me more confident in this short position.

The key is, I decided to continue holding this prediction market position. I feel this is the real worthwhile trade.

Honestly, by 2026, my daily trading focus has gradually shifted from traditional CEX to perpetual contracts and prediction markets. Using these two tools together—one to capture short-term fluctuations, the other to validate medium-term judgments—the efficiency is completely different. This combination is now my core trading framework.

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GasFeeCrier

· 01-10 19:28

Double top signal is good, but can the prediction market really hold? I've tried too many times, and in the end, I was shaken out.

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CommunityLurker

· 01-10 09:01

Double top and empty silver are really old tricks, but I am quite optimistic about the prediction market. Compared to the CEX approach, it's definitely more stable.

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mev_me_maybe

· 01-08 23:32

The double top in silver does have some significance, but I still remain cautious about the prediction market. I feel that liquidity risk can sometimes be quite annoying.

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TestnetNomad

· 01-08 10:53

The double top pattern is indeed prone to reversal, but silver can also be quite volatile when it moves, so make sure to manage your risk when holding positions.

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MysteryBoxBuster

· 01-08 10:53

Double tops look good, but can we really trust silver? I still think market prediction is more reliable.

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FUD_Vaccinated

· 01-08 10:49

Double top bearish pattern, I got it. But can the prediction market really be trusted? What about the risks? --- Perpetual + prediction market combo sounds appealing, but it all depends on execution. How did you cut losses on this silver trade? --- Whoa, confirmed double top? I'm also watching XAG. Seems like your approach is pretty solid. --- Still talking about trading frameworks in 2026? Are you serious? Haha. --- Prediction markets are the real deal. I believe that more than the garbage liquidity on CEX. --- I haven't taken a short position on silver. Your chart analysis looks interesting, so I followed along. --- Using two tools together really boosts efficiency. I've tried this before. --- Not breaking new highs in January? That's a pretty bold bet, bro. --- Perpetual contracts capture volatility, and prediction markets verify judgments. This approach is really clear. --- You saw the double top, but I haven't reacted yet.

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MevShadowranger

· 01-08 10:38

I also noticed the double top area, but I feel that this wave of silver is a bit strange. The depth of the predictive market is still somewhat lacking.

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GateUser-a180694b

· 01-08 10:37

Double top empty silver, this idea is a bit interesting, but when it comes to market prediction, it feels more like gambling...

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AirdropHunterKing

· 01-08 10:35

Double top? Buddy, your move is a bit like what I did on $BTC last year. I got smashed through twice and am still sleepwalking. Predicting the market with perpetual contracts is indeed a good move, but you have to withstand those daily swings in mood. If you ask me, the key is to have enough confidence in your own judgment, but confidence... you know. If you really hold onto this position, you should give yourself a good shoutout.

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MindsetExpander

· 01-08 10:31

Double top resistance is indeed hard to break through. I like your approach.

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