2026-01-08 08:21:58

Recent analyses suggest that the crypto market will hit new highs again in 2026, depending on whether these three issues can be effectively addressed.

First and foremost is the policy framework. If the relevant bills promoted by US regulators can pass smoothly, it will mean a clear legal safeguard for the entire industry. This will significantly boost investor confidence—after all, many are still waiting for clearer policies.

Second is the psychological barrier. The market volatility in October last year caused many positions to shrink significantly. That sense of trauma has not fully dissipated, and the market needs time to recover. Only when this memory no longer stings so much can buying interest truly rebound.

Finally, do not overlook the impact of the stock market. Although the correlation between crypto and stocks is considered relatively low, whenever the stock market fluctuates, digital assets tend to sway in the short term as well. This is the reality of interconnected market sentiment—there's no way to completely isolate it.

If these three variables all develop positively, the crypto market at the start of 2026 indeed has the potential to continue its upward trend. But the premise is that these hurdles are overcome one by one.

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

19 Likes

Reward
19
9
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

SchrödingersNode

· 01-11 07:01

To be honest, the policies are still uncertain. Who knows over there in the US? That wave in October really hurt a lot of people, and the psychological shadow still lingers. When the stock market jitters, we suffer along with it, that's just ridiculous. 2026? I'll see if I can make it to next year first. All three conditions must be met, it's not an easy task.

View OriginalReply0

CryptoWageSlave

· 01-10 07:24

In simple terms, it's about watching policies, psychology, and the overall market; all three need to work together.

View OriginalReply0

PumpDoctrine

· 01-08 08:51

It's that old three-thing theory again: policy, psychology, and the stock market... I'm tired of hearing about it. Instead, just watch how BTC moves.

View OriginalReply0

EntryPositionAnalyst

· 01-08 08:49

At the end of the day, we still have to wait for the policy boots to land, which is the biggest variable. There is hope for the policy framework and psychological repair, but if the stock market throws a tantrum, we will still be casualties. This reality is very painful. 2026? Let's first focus on this year's policy window period and not think too far ahead. Regarding psychological trauma, you are absolutely right. The wave in October last year really shattered the confidence of many people. What are the chances that all three things will be in place? Honestly, I am a pessimist. As long as the policy is more than half, the crypto market will have already taken off. It doesn't need to be perfect in every aspect. Wait, is it really unavoidable for the stock market to fluctuate? I feel there should be a way to isolate it.

View OriginalReply0

OnchainFortuneTeller

· 01-08 08:44

In simple terms, it's about watching policies, psychology, and the market trend—all three need to align, or it's all in vain. --- The trauma from October's wave still hasn't healed, it's true. Some people are so timid that they haven't dared to add to their positions yet. --- Whenever the stock market drops, cryptocurrencies tremble along with it. It feels completely disconnected, which is the most heartbreaking part. --- Only when the policy framework is implemented can we talk about 2026. It's a bit too early to discuss these now. --- The psychological barrier is the hardest to break through. Losing money is easy to recover from; psychological trauma isn't so easily healed. --- It seems all three conditions need to be met, but the probability is a bit low. Better not to expect too much. --- The regulatory bill in the US hasn't passed yet, and the foundation isn't solid. Everything else is just talk. --- You're right, but I still think the core logic depends on whether Bitcoin can stay stable. Everything else is just superficial. --- When will buying momentum truly pick up? The key is when the big whales start hyping it, haha. --- The impact on the stock market is indeed significant, but in the long run, crypto is still its own story. Let's just accept the short-term reality.

View OriginalReply0

ser_we_are_ngmi

· 01-08 08:44

Where is the promised policy support? Over in the US, they’ve been dragging their feet for ages with no progress, and now I don’t even dare to double down.

View OriginalReply0

HashBard

· 01-08 08:40

nah the real talk is psychology beats policy every time... that oct trauma still lives in everyone's portfolio fr fr

Reply0

SybilAttackVictim

· 01-08 08:37

Don't get too excited before the policy is implemented; we've seen the "coming soon" stories before.

View OriginalReply0

GasFeeCrier

· 01-08 08:26

Honestly, policies are still the most crucial; the other two are just superficial.